Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC

Inizio: 2026-08-22 11:35 UTC

Finale: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 4–5 Shanghai Shenhua FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

47 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Casa)

Previsione 50.77%1.97quota equa
EV -5.06%
Vantaggio -2.71%
Kelly -5.82%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.87

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.77%50.95%50.72%53.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.811.821.8758.82%55.16%54.95%53.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.18%3.82quota equa
EV -0.796%
Vantaggio -0.210%
Kelly -0.285%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.79

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.80%26.10%26.22%27.60%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.543.553.7931.25%28.27%28.17%26.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 23.06%4.34quota equa
EV -0.162%
Vantaggio -0.037%
Kelly -0.049%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.67%22.94%23.06%24.20%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.753.994.004.3326.67%25.09%25.00%23.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Casa): 50.77%; Shanghai Shenhua FC (Trasferta): 26.18%; Pareggio: 23.06%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.34. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 4.33, con un valore atteso del -0.162%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.34%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.74%EV -2.37%E -0.634%K -0.867%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.91%EV -3.39%E -0.809%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 11:20
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 11:15
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -3.16%E -0.752%K -0.987%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 10:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 21:30
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 21:30
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 21:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 21:29
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 21:29
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 21:30
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -0.162%E -0.037%K -0.049%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 11:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 11:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 11:15
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 11:14
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.73%EV -6.59%E -3.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 10:49
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 11:29
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 11:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 11:00
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.08%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 10:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.08%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 10:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.08%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 10:39
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.08%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 10:39
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 11:00
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -7.60%E -4.18%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 11:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -7.60%E -4.18%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.92%E -2.26%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 10:55
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.37%EV -7.60%E -4.18%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -11.23%E -2.92%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 10:50
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.37%EV -7.60%E -4.18%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -11.23%E -2.92%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 10:50
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -7.60%E -4.18%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -13.54%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 11:15
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.08%EV -8.11%E -4.48%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.87%EV -0.796%E -0.210%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.05%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 04:49
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.68%EV -8.11%E -4.48%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -1.84%E -0.491%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 11:30
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.50%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.33%EV -4.20%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 10:25
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 10:43
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 10:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 10:50
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -13.54%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -13.54%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 10:50
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.70%EV -9.63%E -5.41%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -9.70%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -10.08%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-17 21:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.45%EV -9.63%E -5.41%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.74%EV -8.92%E -2.26%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 10:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.03%EV -10.14%E -5.73%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -10.08%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 11:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.83%EV -10.65%E -6.05%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -9.70%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -11.23%E -2.92%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-17 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -11.16%E -6.38%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.08%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 11:25
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -11.16%E -6.38%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -12.38%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-22 11:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.72%EV -12.17%E -7.04%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.38%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-17 21:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.72%EV -12.17%E -7.04%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.38%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-17 21:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -12.68%E -7.37%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -3.16%E -0.752%K -0.987%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 10:30
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.54%EV -13.70%E -8.06%K -19.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%EV -16.24%E -5.07%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.61%EV -12.38%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-22 10:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-08-22 11:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-08-22 11:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-08-22 11:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-08-22 11:30
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.94%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%1.9%2026-08-22 11:05