Language:English
Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Liaoning Tieren FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)
Prediction 67.93%1.47fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -2.49%
Kelly -8.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.27%67.96%68.08%70.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.351.361.4279.37%73.91%73.53%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit)
Prediction 13.56%7.37fair odd
EV +8.51%
Edge +1.06%
Kelly +1.22%
Growth +0.103%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.69%13.54%13.49%15.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.937.008.0017.39%14.44%14.29%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.50%5.40fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.330%
Kelly -0.406%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.71%18.50%18.43%19.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.604.975.005.3121.74%20.12%20.00%18.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local): 67.93%; Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit): 13.56%; Draw: 18.50%. For Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.37. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.51%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +8.51%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.103% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +8.51%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.103% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +8.51%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.103% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +8.51%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.103% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +8.51%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.103% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +8.51%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.103% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.86%EV -8.29%E -6.14%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.17%EV +5.11%E +0.660%K +0.758%G +0.039% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.86%E -0.545%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.29%E -6.14%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -2.86%E -0.545%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 11:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -9.34%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -11.69%E -8.99%K -38.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -9.34%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.84%EV -13.04%E -10.19%K -46.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.24%EV -9.34%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.91%EV -14.40%E -11.43%K -55.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -11.19%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.91%EV -14.40%E -11.43%K -55.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -11.19%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.86%EV -5.57%E -4.01%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.11%EV -0.989%E -0.135%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.03%EV -1.75%E -0.330%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -2.86%E -0.545%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.37%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.37%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.37%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.72%EV -5.57%E -4.01%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 10:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 10:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -11.69%E -8.99%K -38.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 10:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -11.69%E -8.99%K -38.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.13%EV -7.61%E -5.60%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.53%EV -7.09%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.35%EV -6.56%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -11.84%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 11:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.84%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.84%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.84%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.84%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -7.61%E -5.60%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.84%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.61%E -5.60%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -11.84%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -11.19%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.88%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.47I 15.46%NM 14.47%EV -12.25%E -1.89%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 18.65%EV -7.12%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.69%EV -6.93%E -5.06%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -13.20%E -2.06%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.03%EV -11.19%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 11:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.69%EV -6.93%E -5.06%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -13.20%E -2.06%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.03%EV -11.19%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.56%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.70%EV -15.23%E -2.44%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -9.34%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.05%EV -3.53%E -2.49%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.22I 16.08%NM 15.08%EV -15.64%E -2.51%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 18.87%EV -8.04%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.48%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -15.91%E -2.57%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -9.34%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.80%EV -6.93%E -5.06%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -18.62%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -5.64%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -7.61%E -5.60%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -18.62%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV -11.19%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -18.62%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-29 11:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.30%EV -8.29%E -6.14%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.43%EV -21.33%E -3.68%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.27%EV -9.34%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.27%EV -7.61%E -5.60%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -22.01%E -3.83%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -14.89%E -3.24%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.27%EV -7.61%E -5.60%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -22.01%E -3.83%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -14.89%E -3.24%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.48% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 0.6% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.27% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.60% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.76% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65% | 1.9% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |