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Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Liaoning Tieren FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)
Predicción 67.93%1.47momio equitativo
EV -3.53%
Ventaja -2.49%
Kelly -8.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.27%67.96%68.08%70.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.261.351.361.4279.37%73.91%73.53%70.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Liaoning Tieren FC (Visitante)
Predicción 13.56%7.37momio equitativo
EV +8.51%
Ventaja +1.06%
Kelly +1.22%
Crecimiento +0.103%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.69%13.54%13.49%15.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.756.937.008.0017.39%14.44%14.29%12.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 18.50%5.40momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -0.330%
Kelly -0.406%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.71%18.50%18.43%19.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.604.975.005.3121.74%20.12%20.00%18.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local): 67.93%; Liaoning Tieren FC (Visitante): 13.56%; Empate: 18.50%. Para Liaoning Tieren FC (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.37. 15 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 8.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +8.51%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +8.51%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.103% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +8.51%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.103% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +8.51%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.103% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +8.51%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.103% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +8.51%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.103% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +8.51%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.103% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.86%EV -8.29%E -6.14%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.17%EV +5.11%E +0.660%K +0.758%G +0.039% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.86%E -0.545%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.29%E -6.14%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -2.86%E -0.545%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 11:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -9.34%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -11.69%E -8.99%K -38.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -9.34%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.84%EV -13.04%E -10.19%K -46.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.24%EV -9.34%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.91%EV -14.40%E -11.43%K -55.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -11.19%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.91%EV -14.40%E -11.43%K -55.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -11.19%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.86%EV -5.57%E -4.01%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.11%EV -0.989%E -0.135%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.03%EV -1.75%E -0.330%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -2.86%E -0.545%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.37%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.37%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.37%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.72%EV -5.57%E -4.01%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 10:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 10:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -11.69%E -8.99%K -38.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 10:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -11.69%E -8.99%K -38.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.13%EV -7.61%E -5.60%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.53%EV -7.09%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.35%EV -6.56%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -11.84%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 11:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.84%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.84%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.84%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.84%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -7.61%E -5.60%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.84%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.61%E -5.60%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -11.84%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -11.19%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.88%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.47I 15.46%NM 14.47%EV -12.25%E -1.89%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 18.65%EV -7.12%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.69%EV -6.93%E -5.06%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -13.20%E -2.06%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.03%EV -11.19%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 11:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.69%EV -6.93%E -5.06%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -13.20%E -2.06%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.03%EV -11.19%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.56%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.70%EV -15.23%E -2.44%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -9.34%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.05%EV -3.53%E -2.49%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.22I 16.08%NM 15.08%EV -15.64%E -2.51%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 18.87%EV -8.04%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.48%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -15.91%E -2.57%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -9.34%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.80%EV -6.93%E -5.06%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -18.62%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -5.64%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -7.61%E -5.60%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -18.62%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV -11.19%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -18.62%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-29 11:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.30%EV -8.29%E -6.14%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.43%EV -21.33%E -3.68%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.27%EV -9.34%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.27%EV -7.61%E -5.60%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -22.01%E -3.83%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -14.89%E -3.24%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.27%EV -7.61%E -5.60%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -22.01%E -3.83%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -14.89%E -3.24%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.48% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 0.6% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.27% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.60% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.76% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65% | 1.9% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |