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Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Liaoning Tieren FC
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Хозяева)
Прогноз 67.93%1.47справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.53%
Преимущество -2.49%
Kelly -8.41%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.42
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
65.27%67.96%68.08%70.32%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.261.351.361.4279.37%73.91%73.53%70.42%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Liaoning Tieren FC (Гости)
Прогноз 13.56%7.37справедливый коэффициент
EV +8.51%
Преимущество +1.06%
Kelly +1.22%
Рост +0.103%
при максимальном коэффициенте 8.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
11.69%13.54%13.49%15.44%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.756.937.008.0017.39%14.44%14.29%12.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 18.50%5.40справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.75%
Преимущество -0.330%
Kelly -0.406%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.31
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.71%18.50%18.43%19.52%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.604.975.005.3121.74%20.12%20.00%18.83%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Хозяева): 67.93%; Liaoning Tieren FC (Гости): 13.56%; Ничья: 18.50%. Для исхода «Liaoning Tieren FC (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 7.37. 15 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 8.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +8.51%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +8.51%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.103% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +8.51%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.103% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +8.51%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.103% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +8.51%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.103% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +8.51%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.103% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +8.51%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.103% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.86%EV -8.29%E -6.14%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.17%EV +5.11%E +0.660%K +0.758%G +0.039% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.86%E -0.545%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.29%E -6.14%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -2.86%E -0.545%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 11:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -9.34%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -11.69%E -8.99%K -38.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -9.34%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.84%EV -13.04%E -10.19%K -46.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.24%EV -9.34%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.91%EV -14.40%E -11.43%K -55.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -11.19%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.91%EV -14.40%E -11.43%K -55.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -11.19%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.86%EV -5.57%E -4.01%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.11%EV -0.989%E -0.135%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.03%EV -1.75%E -0.330%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -2.86%E -0.545%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.37%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.37%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.37%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.72%EV -5.57%E -4.01%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 10:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 10:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -11.69%E -8.99%K -38.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 10:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -11.69%E -8.99%K -38.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.13%EV -7.61%E -5.60%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.53%EV -7.09%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.35%EV -6.56%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -11.84%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 11:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.84%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.84%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.84%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.84%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -7.61%E -5.60%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.84%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.61%E -5.60%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -11.84%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -11.19%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.88%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.47I 15.46%NM 14.47%EV -12.25%E -1.89%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 18.65%EV -7.12%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.69%EV -6.93%E -5.06%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -13.20%E -2.06%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.03%EV -11.19%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 11:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.69%EV -6.93%E -5.06%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -13.20%E -2.06%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.03%EV -11.19%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.56%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.70%EV -15.23%E -2.44%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -9.34%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.05%EV -3.53%E -2.49%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.22I 16.08%NM 15.08%EV -15.64%E -2.51%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 18.87%EV -8.04%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.48%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -15.91%E -2.57%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -9.34%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.80%EV -6.93%E -5.06%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -18.62%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -5.64%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -7.61%E -5.60%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -18.62%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV -11.19%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -18.62%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-29 11:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.30%EV -8.29%E -6.14%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.43%EV -21.33%E -3.68%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.27%EV -9.34%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.27%EV -7.61%E -5.60%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -22.01%E -3.83%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -14.89%E -3.24%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.27%EV -7.61%E -5.60%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -22.01%E -3.83%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -14.89%E -3.24%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.48% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 0.6% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.27% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.60% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.76% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65% | 1.9% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |