默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Liaoning Tieren FC

开赛时间: 2026-08-29 11:35 UTC

最终结果: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 2–1 Liaoning Tieren FC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

46 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (主队)

预测 67.93%1.47公平赔率
EV -3.53%
优势 -2.49%
Kelly -8.41%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.42

博彩公司预测分布
65.27%67.96%68.08%70.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.261.351.361.4279.37%73.91%73.53%70.42%最小值均值中位数最大值

Liaoning Tieren FC (客队)

预测 13.56%7.37公平赔率
EV +8.51%
优势 +1.06%
Kelly +1.22%
增长率 +0.103%

假设最高赔率为 8.00

博彩公司预测分布
11.69%13.54%13.49%15.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.756.937.008.0017.39%14.44%14.29%12.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 18.50%5.40公平赔率
EV -1.75%
优势 -0.330%
Kelly -0.406%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.31

博彩公司预测分布
17.71%18.50%18.43%19.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.604.975.005.3121.74%20.12%20.00%18.83%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Chengdu Rongcheng FC (主队):67.93%;Liaoning Tieren FC (客队):13.56%;平局:18.50%。 对于“Liaoning Tieren FC (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.37。 当时有15家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为8.00,对应+8.51%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +8.51%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.103%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 11:10
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +8.51%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.103%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 11:10
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +8.51%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.103%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +8.51%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.103%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 11:10
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +8.51%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.103%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 11:10
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +8.51%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.103%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 11:10
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.86%EV -8.29%E -6.14%K -23.68%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.17%EV +5.11%E +0.660%K +0.758%G +0.039%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.86%E -0.545%K -0.673%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 11:10
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.29%E -6.14%K -23.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 11:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -2.86%E -0.545%K -0.673%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 11:25
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 11:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -9.34%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:20
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -11.69%E -8.99%K -38.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -9.34%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.84%EV -13.04%E -10.19%K -46.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.24%EV -9.34%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 69.91%EV -14.40%E -11.43%K -55.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -11.19%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-29 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 69.91%EV -14.40%E -11.43%K -55.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV +1.72%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -11.19%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-29 11:10
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.86%EV -5.57%E -4.01%K -14.29%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.11%EV -0.989%E -0.135%K -0.157%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.03%EV -1.75%E -0.330%K -0.406%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 11:25
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -2.86%E -0.545%K -0.673%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.37%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.37%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 11:30
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.37%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 11:20
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.72%EV -5.57%E -4.01%K -14.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 11:10
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 11:10
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 10:40
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 10:45
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -11.69%E -8.99%K -38.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 10:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -11.69%E -8.99%K -38.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -5.06%E -0.723%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.13%EV -7.61%E -5.60%K -21.14%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.53%EV -7.09%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.35%EV -6.56%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -11.84%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 11:19
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.84%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 11:30
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.84%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.84%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.84%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 11:30
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -7.61%E -5.60%K -21.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.84%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:28
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.61%E -5.60%K -21.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -11.84%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -11.19%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 11:30
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.88%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.47I 15.46%NM 14.47%EV -12.25%E -1.89%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 18.65%EV -7.12%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 11:30
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.69%EV -6.93%E -5.06%K -18.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -13.20%E -2.06%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.03%EV -11.19%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 11:19
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.69%EV -6.93%E -5.06%K -18.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -13.20%E -2.06%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.03%EV -11.19%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 11:20
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.56%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.45%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.70%EV -15.23%E -2.44%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -9.34%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:20
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.05%EV -3.53%E -2.49%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.08%EV -15.64%E -2.51%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 18.87%EV -8.04%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 11:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.48%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.45%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -15.91%E -2.57%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -9.34%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 11:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.80%EV -6.93%E -5.06%K -18.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -18.62%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -5.64%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 11:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -7.61%E -5.60%K -21.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -18.62%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV -11.19%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 11:30
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -9.65%E -7.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -18.62%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-29 11:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.30%EV -8.29%E -6.14%K -23.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.43%EV -21.33%E -3.68%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.27%EV -9.34%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 11:20
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.27%EV -7.61%E -5.60%K -21.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -22.01%E -3.83%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -14.89%E -3.24%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.27%EV -7.61%E -5.60%K -21.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -22.01%E -3.83%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -14.89%E -3.24%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 11:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.48%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%0.6%2026-08-29 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-08-29 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.27%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%0.9%2026-08-29 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%1.2%2026-08-29 11:30
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.60%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.76%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65%1.9%2026-08-29 11:30