The School of Odds

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Beijing FC

2026-07-26 11:35 UTC — Super League - China

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)

Prediction 46.19%2.17fair odd
EV -5.31%
Edge -2.59%
Kelly -5.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.29%46.30%46.15%47.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.861.992.002.0554%50%50%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Beijing FC (Visit)

Prediction 29.63%3.37fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.672%
Kelly -0.964%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.95%29.52%29.60%30.64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.753.093.103.3036%32%32%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.18%4.14fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -0.758%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.66%24.17%24.25%24.73%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.503.783.774.0129%26%26%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.18%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -6.91%E -1.79%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 12:05
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 45.99%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.84%EV -6.37%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV -5.70%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-20 00:05
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.81%EV -5.77%E -2.83%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.38%EV -3.70%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.81%EV -3.04%E -0.758%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 12:52
SportsBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.19%EV -6.24%E -3.07%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -5.70%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 12:05
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 46.85%EV -6.70%E -3.32%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.48%EV -4.88%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.28%E -0.820%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-19 13:00
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.80%EV -6.70%E -3.32%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.12%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-19 12:49
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.80%EV -6.70%E -3.32%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.12%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-19 12:50
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -5.70%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-19 15:22
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -5.70%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 12:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -5.70%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 12:19
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -6.91%E -1.79%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 14:10
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -9.32%E -2.49%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 12:04
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -9.32%E -2.49%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 12:49
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -10.53%E -2.85%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 12:05
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -10.53%E -2.85%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 12:45
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -10.53%E -2.85%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 12:45
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -10.53%E -2.85%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 12:44
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -10.53%E -2.85%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 12:50
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -9.62%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.53%E -2.85%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-19 12:50
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.81%EV -8.55%E -4.32%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -5.70%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 12:50
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.93%E -5.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -9.32%E -2.49%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-19 12:05
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -10.86%E -5.62%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -2.22%E -0.672%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.12%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 17:00
Unibet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.78%EV -11.32%E -5.89%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -12.59%E -4.27%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -12.95%E -3.60%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-19 12:50
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.46%EV -11.32%E -5.89%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.63%EV -15.55%E -5.46%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.91%EV -11.74%E -3.22%K -4.43%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-19 12:50
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.58%EV -11.78%E -6.17%K -12.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -14.66%E -5.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -12.95%E -3.60%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-19 13:34
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 45.29%EV -14.09%E -7.57%K -16.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.64%EV -18.51%E -6.73%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.07%EV -15.37%E -4.39%K -6.15%G +0.000%18.7%2026-07-19 12:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.