Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.13
assuming max odds 3.28
assuming max odds 3.91
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local): 45.21%; Beijing FC (Visit): 30.06%; Draw: 24.73%. For Beijing FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.28, with an expected value of -1.40%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.16%EV -3.69%E -1.73%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.25%EV -4.41%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.60%EV -3.32%E -0.849%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-26 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.06%EV -5.05%E -2.40%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-26 11:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.06%EV -5.05%E -2.40%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-26 11:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -5.05%E -2.40%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 11:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -5.05%E -2.40%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 11:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.95%E -2.86%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -9.75%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 11:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.95%E -2.86%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -9.75%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 11:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.37%EV -6.41%E -3.09%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-26 11:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.01%EV -1.40%E -0.428%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.58%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-26 07:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -3.81%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -4.80%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 07:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -4.80%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-26 11:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 11:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-26 07:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-26 11:31 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-26 11:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -9.75%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-26 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.46%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -11.32%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-26 11:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-26 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-26 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-26 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-26 11:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.46%E -3.85%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-26 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.46%E -3.85%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-26 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.41%EV -7.76%E -3.81%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-26 11:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.96%EV -8.21%E -4.05%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -3.81%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 11:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -8.67%E -4.29%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-26 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -9.57%E -4.79%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -3.81%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-26 11:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -9.57%E -4.79%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -3.81%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 11:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -9.57%E -4.79%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-26 07:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -9.57%E -4.79%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-26 07:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.57%E -4.79%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.40%EV -10.48%E -5.29%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -14.33%E -5.03%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-26 11:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.07%EV -10.93%E -5.55%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -2.31%E -0.710%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-26 10:46 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -11.38%E -5.81%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -2.31%E -0.710%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 10:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -11.38%E -5.81%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -2.31%E -0.710%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 10:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -11.38%E -5.81%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -2.31%E -0.710%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -11.38%E -5.81%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -2.31%E -0.710%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 10:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -11.38%E -5.81%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -2.31%E -0.710%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 10:46 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -11.38%E -5.81%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -2.31%E -0.710%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -11.83%E -6.07%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-26 11:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -11.83%E -6.07%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.09%EV -12.28%E -6.33%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -3.81%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-26 10:46 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.11%EV -13.64%E -7.14%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.11%EV -13.64%E -7.14%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 10:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -13.64%E -7.14%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -15.83%E -5.65%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-07-26 11:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 1.1% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 1.1% | 2026-07-26 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 1.1% | 2026-07-26 11:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 1.1% | 2026-07-26 11:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.09% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49% | 2.1% | 2026-07-26 11:15 |