L’École des cotes

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Beijing FC

2026-07-26 11:35 UTC — Super League - China

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)

Prévision 47.25%2.12cote équitable
EV -4.55%
Avantage -2.25%
Kelly -4.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.81%47.24%47.25%48.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.951.952.0255.56%51.23%51.28%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Beijing FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.27%3.54cote équitable
EV -1.89%
Avantage -0.545%
Kelly -0.766%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.07%28.23%28.33%29.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.253.253.4733.33%30.74%30.77%28.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.47%4.09cote équitable
EV -1.86%
Avantage -0.464%
Kelly -0.618%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.08%24.53%24.42%26.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.743.754.0129.41%26.77%26.67%24.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.59%EV -4.55%E -2.25%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.44%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.97%EV -1.86%E -0.464%K -0.618%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 04:55
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.51%EV -5.02%E -2.50%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.25%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.24%EV -3.57%E -0.907%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 00:18
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -5.49%E -2.75%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.55%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 04:19
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -5.49%E -2.75%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.55%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 04:20
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -5.49%E -2.75%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -5.78%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 03:54
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.49%E -2.75%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.00%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 04:10
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.49%E -2.75%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.00%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 04:10
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.49%E -2.75%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.78%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 04:09
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -5.49%E -2.75%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.00%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 03:55
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -6.44%E -3.25%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -8.22%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 03:54
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -6.44%E -3.25%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -9.45%E -2.55%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-22 14:49
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 45.85%EV -6.44%E -3.25%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -12.35%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -10.67%E -2.92%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 05:29
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -6.91%E -3.51%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.45%E -2.55%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 14:49
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -6.91%E -3.51%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.45%E -2.55%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 14:49
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -6.91%E -3.51%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.45%E -2.55%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 14:49
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -6.91%E -3.51%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.45%E -2.55%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 14:49
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -6.91%E -3.51%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.45%E -2.55%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 14:49
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -6.91%E -3.51%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.45%E -2.55%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 14:49
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.86%E -4.03%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.55%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 03:54
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -7.86%E -4.03%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -7.26%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.25%EV -6.51%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 00:14
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.86%E -4.03%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.00%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 03:54
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -7.86%E -4.03%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.45%E -2.55%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 03:55
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -7.86%E -4.03%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.45%E -2.55%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 03:54
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.86%E -4.03%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.22%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 05:09
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.86%E -4.03%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.00%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 03:55
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.86%E -4.03%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -8.22%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 03:54
betano_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.86%E -4.03%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -8.22%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 04:19
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.86%E -4.03%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -8.22%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 04:19
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.86%E -4.03%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.89%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 03:54
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.86%E -4.03%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.89%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 03:54
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.86%E -4.03%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.89%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 03:54
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.86%E -4.03%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.89%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 03:55
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.86%E -4.03%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.79%E -4.94%K -7.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 04:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.86%E -4.03%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.79%E -4.94%K -7.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 04:14
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -8.33%E -4.29%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -4.55%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 03:54
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -8.33%E -4.29%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -10.67%E -2.92%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 03:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.78%EV -8.33%E -4.29%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.67%E -2.92%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 14:50
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 48.66%EV -8.80%E -4.56%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.07%EV -1.89%E -0.545%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.27%EV -5.29%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 16:49
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -8.80%E -4.56%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.00%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 12:55
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.35%EV -9.27%E -4.83%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.22%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 03:54
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.67%EV -9.27%E -4.83%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -10.94%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.89%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-22 14:49
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.67%EV -9.27%E -4.83%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -10.94%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.89%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-22 14:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -9.75%E -5.10%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -4.55%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 03:54
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.75%E -5.10%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.00%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 03:54
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 46.83%EV -9.75%E -5.10%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.32%EV -13.77%E -4.51%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -8.22%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 13:05
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.40%EV -11.16%E -5.94%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -11.89%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 03:54
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.24%EV -12.11%E -6.51%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -12.35%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -11.89%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 03:54
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -14.94%E -8.30%K -18.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -15.18%E -5.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -8.22%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-25 13:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-07-26 05:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-07-26 05:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-07-26 05:30
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-07-26 05:35
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%3.0%2026-07-26 05:35