默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Beijing FC

开赛时间: 2026-07-26 11:35 UTC

最终结果: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 2–2 Beijing FC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

48 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (主队)

预测 45.21%2.21公平赔率
EV -3.69%
优势 -1.73%
Kelly -3.27%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.13

博彩公司预测分布
44.07%45.31%45.25%47.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.912.022.052.1352.36%49.47%48.78%46.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

Beijing FC (客队)

预测 30.06%3.33公平赔率
EV -1.40%
优势 -0.428%
Kelly -0.616%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.28

博彩公司预测分布
28.46%29.89%30.03%30.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.103.103.2835.71%32.23%32.26%30.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.73%4.04公平赔率
EV -3.32%
优势 -0.849%
Kelly -1.14%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.91

博彩公司预测分布
23.98%24.80%24.72%25.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.713.703.9128.57%26.95%27.03%25.58%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Chengdu Rongcheng FC (主队):45.21%;Beijing FC (客队):30.06%;平局:24.73%。 对于“Beijing FC (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.33。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.28,期望值为-1.40%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.16%EV -3.69%E -1.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.25%EV -4.41%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.60%EV -3.32%E -0.849%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.06%EV -5.05%E -2.40%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 11:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.06%EV -5.05%E -2.40%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 11:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -5.05%E -2.40%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 11:00
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -5.05%E -2.40%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 11:30
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.95%E -2.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -9.75%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 11:05
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.95%E -2.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -9.75%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 11:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.37%EV -6.41%E -3.09%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 11:05
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.01%EV -1.40%E -0.428%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.58%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 07:20
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -3.81%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -4.80%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 07:10
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -4.80%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 11:05
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 11:23
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 11:30
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 07:10
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 11:31
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 11:19
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 11:20
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -9.75%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 11:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.46%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -11.32%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 11:05
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 11:30
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 11:30
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.46%E -3.85%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.46%E -3.85%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.41%EV -7.76%E -3.81%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 11:15
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.96%EV -8.21%E -4.05%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -3.81%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 11:10
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -8.67%E -4.29%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 11:30
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -9.57%E -4.79%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -3.81%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 11:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -9.57%E -4.79%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -3.81%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 11:10
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -9.57%E -4.79%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 07:10
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -9.57%E -4.79%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 07:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.57%E -4.79%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 11:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.40%EV -10.48%E -5.29%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -14.33%E -5.03%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 11:00
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.07%EV -10.93%E -5.55%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -2.31%E -0.710%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 10:46
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -11.38%E -5.81%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -2.31%E -0.710%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 10:50
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -11.38%E -5.81%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -2.31%E -0.710%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 10:50
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -11.38%E -5.81%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -2.31%E -0.710%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -11.38%E -5.81%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -2.31%E -0.710%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 10:50
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -11.38%E -5.81%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -2.31%E -0.710%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 10:46
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -11.38%E -5.81%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -2.31%E -0.710%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 10:50
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -11.83%E -6.07%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 11:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -11.83%E -6.07%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.09%EV -12.28%E -6.33%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -3.81%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 10:46
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.11%EV -13.64%E -7.14%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.11%EV -13.64%E -7.14%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:50
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -13.64%E -7.14%K -14.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -15.83%E -5.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-26 11:30
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-07-26 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-07-26 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-07-26 11:15
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-07-26 11:15
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.09%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%2.1%2026-07-26 11:15