La escuela de los momios

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Beijing FC

2026-07-26 11:35 UTC — Super League - China

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)

Predicción 47.18%2.12momio equitativo
EV -4.22%
Ventaja -2.08%
Kelly -4.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.03

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.32%47.14%47.20%48.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.961.952.0354.64%51.06%51.28%49.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Beijing FC (Visitante)

Predicción 28.25%3.54momio equitativo
EV -1.12%
Ventaja -0.321%
Kelly -0.449%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.55%28.22%28.30%29.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.263.253.5034.48%30.70%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.57%4.07momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -0.495%
Kelly -0.661%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.99

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.03%24.64%24.49%26.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.713.703.9929.41%26.98%27.03%25.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.08%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.53%EV -4.79%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.10%EV -1.98%E -0.495%K -0.661%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 06:39
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.51%EV -5.17%E -2.57%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.25%EV -4.51%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.24%EV -3.20%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 00:18
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.19%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 04:19
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.19%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 04:20
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -5.41%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 03:54
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 04:10
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 04:10
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.41%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 04:09
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 03:55
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -10.33%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 06:55
betano_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.84%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.38%EV -11.86%E -3.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -9.10%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 06:54
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.84%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.38%EV -11.86%E -3.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -9.10%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 06:55
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -11.01%E -3.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -14.01%E -4.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 06:55
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -6.58%E -3.32%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -7.87%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 03:54
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -6.58%E -3.32%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -9.10%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-22 14:49
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -7.05%E -3.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.10%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 14:49
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -7.05%E -3.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.10%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 14:49
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -7.05%E -3.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.10%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 14:49
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -7.05%E -3.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.10%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 14:49
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -7.05%E -3.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.10%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 14:49
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -7.05%E -3.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.10%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 14:49
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -7.52%E -3.84%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -11.01%E -3.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -7.87%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 06:54
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -1.12%E -0.321%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.10%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 06:49
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -1.12%E -0.321%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 06:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -1.12%E -0.321%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 06:49
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -7.34%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.25%EV -6.15%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 00:14
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 03:54
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.10%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 03:55
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 03:55
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.87%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 03:54
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -9.10%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 06:54
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 03:54
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 03:54
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 03:54
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 03:55
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.47%E -4.84%K -6.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 04:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.47%E -4.84%K -6.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 04:14
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -8.47%E -4.36%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -10.33%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 03:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.78%EV -8.47%E -4.36%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.33%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 14:50
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 48.66%EV -8.94%E -4.63%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.07%EV -1.97%E -0.568%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.27%EV -4.92%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 16:49
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -8.94%E -4.63%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 12:55
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.67%EV -9.41%E -4.90%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -11.01%E -3.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-22 14:49
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.67%EV -9.41%E -4.90%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -11.01%E -3.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-22 14:49
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.88%E -5.17%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 06:49
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 46.83%EV -9.88%E -5.17%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.32%EV -13.84%E -4.54%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -7.87%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 13:05
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.40%EV -11.30%E -6.01%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 03:54
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.24%EV -12.24%E -6.58%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 03:54
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 47.19%EV -13.66%E -7.46%K -16.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.78%EV -18.07%E -6.23%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -7.87%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-26 06:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.0%2026-07-26 06:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.0%2026-07-26 06:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.0%2026-07-26 06:45
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.0%2026-07-26 06:55
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-07-26 06:50