Idioma:Español
Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Beijing FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)
Predicción 45.21%2.21momio equitativo
EV -3.69%
Ventaja -1.73%
Kelly -3.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.07%45.31%45.25%47.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.912.022.052.1352.36%49.47%48.78%46.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Beijing FC (Visitante)
Predicción 30.06%3.33momio equitativo
EV -1.40%
Ventaja -0.428%
Kelly -0.616%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.46%29.89%30.03%30.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.103.103.2835.71%32.23%32.26%30.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.73%4.04momio equitativo
EV -3.32%
Ventaja -0.849%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.98%24.80%24.72%25.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.713.703.9128.57%26.95%27.03%25.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local): 45.21%; Beijing FC (Visitante): 30.06%; Empate: 24.73%. Para Beijing FC (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.33. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.28, con un valor esperado de -1.40%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.16%EV -3.69%E -1.73%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.25%EV -4.41%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.60%EV -3.32%E -0.849%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-26 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.06%EV -5.05%E -2.40%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-26 11:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.06%EV -5.05%E -2.40%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-26 11:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -5.05%E -2.40%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 11:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -5.05%E -2.40%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 11:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.95%E -2.86%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -9.75%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 11:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.95%E -2.86%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -9.75%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 11:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.37%EV -6.41%E -3.09%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-26 11:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.01%EV -1.40%E -0.428%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.58%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-26 07:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -3.81%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -4.80%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 07:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -4.80%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-26 11:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 11:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-26 07:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-26 11:31 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-26 11:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -9.75%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-26 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.46%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -11.32%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-26 11:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-26 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-26 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-26 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-26 11:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.46%E -3.85%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-26 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.46%E -3.85%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-26 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.41%EV -7.76%E -3.81%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-26 11:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.96%EV -8.21%E -4.05%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -3.81%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 11:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -8.67%E -4.29%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-26 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -9.57%E -4.79%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -3.81%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-26 11:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -9.57%E -4.79%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -3.81%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 11:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -9.57%E -4.79%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-26 07:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -9.57%E -4.79%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-26 07:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.57%E -4.79%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.40%EV -10.48%E -5.29%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -14.33%E -5.03%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-26 11:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.07%EV -10.93%E -5.55%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -2.31%E -0.710%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-26 10:46 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -11.38%E -5.81%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -2.31%E -0.710%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 10:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -11.38%E -5.81%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -2.31%E -0.710%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 10:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -11.38%E -5.81%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -2.31%E -0.710%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -11.38%E -5.81%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -2.31%E -0.710%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 10:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -11.38%E -5.81%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -2.31%E -0.710%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 10:46 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -11.38%E -5.81%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -2.31%E -0.710%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -11.83%E -6.07%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-26 11:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -11.83%E -6.07%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.09%EV -12.28%E -6.33%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -3.81%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-26 10:46 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.11%EV -13.64%E -7.14%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.11%EV -13.64%E -7.14%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 10:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -13.64%E -7.14%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -15.83%E -5.65%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-07-26 11:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 1.1% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 1.1% | 2026-07-26 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 1.1% | 2026-07-26 11:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 1.1% | 2026-07-26 11:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.09% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49% | 2.1% | 2026-07-26 11:15 |