Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Beijing FC v Shenzhen Peng City FC

2026-08-07 11:35 UTC — Super League - China

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Beijing FC (Local)

Prediction 68.36%1.46fair odd
EV -5.66%
Edge -4.10%
Kelly -14.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.62%68.32%68.30%70.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.351.3876.92%74.24%74.07%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visit)

Prediction 13.93%7.18fair odd
EV +4.50%
Edge +0.600%
Kelly +0.692%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.29%13.92%13.97%15.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.706.696.607.5017.54%14.94%15.15%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.71%5.65fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.378%
Kelly -0.461%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.22%17.76%17.73%18.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.145.135.5321.28%19.47%19.51%18.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Beijing FC (Local): 68.36%; Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visit): 13.93%; Draw: 17.71%. For Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.18. 5 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.50, producing a positive expected value of +4.50%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.15%EV -7.71%E -5.71%K -22.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +4.50%E +0.600%K +0.692%G +0.031%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -2.62%E -0.476%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 12:25
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.24%EV -9.08%E -6.83%K -27.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +4.50%E +0.600%K +0.692%G +0.031%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -4.39%E -0.813%K -0.998%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 12:24
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 70.24%EV -9.08%E -6.83%K -27.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +4.50%E +0.600%K +0.692%G +0.031%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -4.39%E -0.813%K -0.998%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 12:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.08%E -6.83%K -27.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +4.50%E +0.600%K +0.692%G +0.031%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -11.47%E -2.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 12:38
1xBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.54%EV -6.34%E -4.63%K -17.15%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.23%EV +0.317%E +0.044%K +0.051%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.23%EV -2.09%E -0.378%K -0.461%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 12:40
PointsBet (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.71%E -5.71%K -22.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -2.47%E -0.353%K -0.412%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.05%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 12:25
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.08%E -6.83%K -27.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -2.47%E -0.353%K -0.412%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -11.47%E -2.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 12:25
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.08%E -6.83%K -27.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -2.47%E -0.353%K -0.412%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -11.47%E -2.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 12:24
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -11.13%E -8.56%K -37.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -2.47%E -0.353%K -0.412%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -11.47%E -2.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-02 12:30
Marathon Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.11%EV -8.40%E -6.27%K -24.69%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -3.86%E -0.560%K -0.655%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -6.16%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 12:19
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 68.46%EV -5.66%E -4.10%K -14.90%G +0.000%6.84I 14.62%NM 13.81%EV -4.70%E -0.687%K -0.805%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.73%EV -5.63%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 12:25
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 68.73%EV -6.34%E -4.63%K -17.15%G +0.000%6.84I 14.62%NM 13.77%EV -4.70%E -0.687%K -0.805%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.50%EV -4.74%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:30
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -7.71%E -5.71%K -22.03%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.97%EV -8.04%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.73%EV -7.93%E -1.53%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:29
BetOnline.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -7.71%E -5.71%K -22.03%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.97%EV -8.04%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.73%EV -7.93%E -1.53%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:29
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.71%EV -6.34%E -4.63%K -17.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -9.44%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -8.82%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 14:20
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.71%EV -6.34%E -4.63%K -17.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -9.44%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -8.82%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 14:19
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.44%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.47%E -2.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 14:24
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.44%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.47%E -2.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 14:24
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.44%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.47%E -2.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 14:25
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.44%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.47%E -2.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 14:25
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 67.46%EV -7.71%E -5.71%K -22.03%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.69%EV -13.62%E -2.20%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -9.70%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 14:25
Codere (IT)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.71%EV -7.71%E -5.71%K -22.03%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.53%EV -13.62%E -2.20%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV -15.01%E -3.13%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-02 14:20
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -7.71%E -5.71%K -22.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -16.40%E -2.73%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.35%EV -7.05%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 14:29
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.63%EV -9.76%E -7.40%K -30.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.66%EV -16.40%E -2.73%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.71%EV -16.78%E -3.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-02 14:19
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.88%EV -8.40%E -6.27%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.19%EV -17.80%E -3.02%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.92%EV -11.47%E -2.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-02 14:19
Winamax (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.62%EV -9.76%E -7.40%K -30.51%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.43%EV -20.58%E -3.61%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.95%EV -13.24%E -2.70%K -3.40%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-02 14:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 62.01%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.87%16.9%2026-08-02 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 62.01%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.87%16.9%2026-08-02 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 39.74%1.17I 85.47%NM 46.88%4.10I 24.39%NM 13.38%82.3%2026-08-02 14:25