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Beijing FC v Shenzhen Peng City FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Beijing FC (Local)
Prediction 64.79%1.54fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -2.78%
Kelly -8.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.19%64.71%64.83%67.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.421.441.4875.19%70.45%69.44%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visit)
Prediction 16.11%6.21fair odd
EV +8.73%
Edge +1.29%
Kelly +1.52%
Growth +0.133%
assuming max odds 6.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.55%16.16%16.10%18.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.825.726.7520.41%17.17%17.47%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.10%5.23fair odd
EV -3.91%
Edge -0.777%
Kelly -0.970%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.46%19.13%19.07%21.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.804.805.0323.26%20.84%20.83%19.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Beijing FC (Local): 64.79%; Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visit): 16.11%; Draw: 19.10%. For Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.21. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.73%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -10.59%E -7.68%K -27.88%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 09:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.71%EV -11.24%E -8.20%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-07 11:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -11.89%E -8.74%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 11:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -11.89%E -8.74%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 11:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -11.89%E -8.74%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 11:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -11.89%E -8.74%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 11:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -11.89%E -8.74%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 11:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.77%EV -12.54%E -9.29%K -35.82%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.55%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-07 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -13.83%E -10.40%K -41.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV +4.70%E +0.724%K +0.855%G +0.040% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-07 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -13.83%E -10.40%K -41.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV +4.70%E +0.724%K +0.855%G +0.040% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-07 11:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.02%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.10%EV +0.677%E +0.108%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 11:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.51%EV -5.41%E -3.71%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 6.18I 16.18%NM 15.48%EV -0.450%E -0.073%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.01%EV -3.91%E -0.777%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 11:31 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -8.00%E -5.63%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.35%E -0.558%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 11:31 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -8.00%E -5.63%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -3.35%E -0.558%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-07 11:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.28%EV -8.65%E -6.13%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -3.35%E -0.558%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 11:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -9.30%E -6.64%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -3.35%E -0.558%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-07 11:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -6.06%E -4.18%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV -4.96%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -6.06%E -4.18%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV -4.96%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -6.06%E -4.18%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV -4.96%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 11:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -4.96%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 11:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.59%EV -8.00%E -5.63%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -4.96%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 11:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.28%EV -4.76%E -3.24%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -7.38%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.00%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -7.38%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.73%EV -8.00%E -5.63%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV -8.18%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 11:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.49%EV -6.06%E -4.18%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.59I 17.89%NM 16.73%EV -9.95%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 18.78%EV -4.86%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 11:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.32%EV -4.11%E -2.78%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.65%EV -8.88%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 11:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-07 11:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-07 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-07 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-07 11:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-07 11:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-07 11:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.47%EV -6.06%E -4.18%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -17.85%E -4.15%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -9.30%E -6.64%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-07 11:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -9.30%E -6.64%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-07 11:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -11.89%E -8.74%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-07 08:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.19%EV -4.11%E -2.78%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -13.01%E -2.41%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 11:13 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.18%EV -5.41%E -3.71%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.40%EV -14.63%E -2.76%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 11:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.18%EV -5.41%E -3.71%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.40%EV -14.63%E -2.76%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 11:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.53%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -14.63%E -2.76%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -10.21%E -2.17%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-07 11:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.52%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -15.43%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-07 11:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.00%EV -6.06%E -4.18%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -16.24%E -3.12%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.44%EV -10.21%E -2.17%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-07 11:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -19.46%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-07 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.46%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -14.03%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-07 11:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.46%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -14.03%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-07 11:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.65%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -21.07%E -4.30%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -10.21%E -2.17%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-07 11:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.21% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.21% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.21% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 11:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.21% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 11:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.83% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.80% | 1.1% | 2026-08-07 11:31 |
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