Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Beijing FC v Shenzhen Peng City FC

Inizio: 2026-08-07 11:35 UTC

Finale: Beijing FC 4–0 Shenzhen Peng City FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

46 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Beijing FC (Casa)

Previsione 64.79%1.54quota equa
EV -4.11%
Vantaggio -2.78%
Kelly -8.57%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.19%64.71%64.83%67.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.421.441.4875.19%70.45%69.44%67.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.11%6.21quota equa
EV +8.73%
Vantaggio +1.29%
Kelly +1.52%
Crescita +0.133%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.55%16.16%16.10%18.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.905.825.726.7520.41%17.17%17.47%14.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 19.10%5.23quota equa
EV -3.91%
Vantaggio -0.777%
Kelly -0.970%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.03

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.46%19.13%19.07%21.06%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.304.804.805.0323.26%20.84%20.83%19.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Beijing FC (Casa): 64.79%; Shenzhen Peng City FC (Trasferta): 16.11%; Pareggio: 19.10%. Per Shenzhen Peng City FC (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.21. 11 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.75, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +8.73%.

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -10.59%E -7.68%K -27.88%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 09:55
Unibet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.71%EV -11.24%E -8.20%K -30.38%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 11:25
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -11.89%E -8.74%K -33.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 11:25
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -11.89%E -8.74%K -33.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 11:30
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -11.89%E -8.74%K -33.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 11:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -11.89%E -8.74%K -33.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -11.89%E -8.74%K -33.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.77%EV -12.54%E -9.29%K -35.82%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.55%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-07 11:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -13.83%E -10.40%K -41.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV +4.70%E +0.724%K +0.855%G +0.040%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-07 11:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -13.83%E -10.40%K -41.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV +4.70%E +0.724%K +0.855%G +0.040%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-07 11:30
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.02%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.10%EV +0.677%E +0.108%K +0.129%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 11:05
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.51%EV -5.41%E -3.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%6.18I 16.18%NM 15.48%EV -0.450%E -0.073%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.01%EV -3.91%E -0.777%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 11:31
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -8.00%E -5.63%K -19.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.35%E -0.558%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 11:31
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -8.00%E -5.63%K -19.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -3.35%E -0.558%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 11:25
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.28%EV -8.65%E -6.13%K -21.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -3.35%E -0.558%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 11:30
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -9.30%E -6.64%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -3.35%E -0.558%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-07 11:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -6.06%E -4.18%K -13.46%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV -4.96%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -6.06%E -4.18%K -13.46%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV -4.96%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 11:30
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -6.06%E -4.18%K -13.46%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV -4.96%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 11:30
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -4.96%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 11:15
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.59%EV -8.00%E -5.63%K -19.05%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -4.96%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 11:14
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.28%EV -4.76%E -3.24%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -7.38%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 11:30
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.00%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -7.38%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 11:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.73%EV -8.00%E -5.63%K -19.05%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV -8.18%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 11:20
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.49%EV -6.06%E -4.18%K -13.46%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 16.73%EV -9.95%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 18.78%EV -4.86%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 11:10
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.32%EV -4.11%E -2.78%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.65%EV -8.88%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 11:30
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 11:25
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 11:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 11:25
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 11:24
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 11:24
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.47%EV -6.06%E -4.18%K -13.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -17.85%E -4.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 10:50
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -9.30%E -6.64%K -23.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-07 11:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -9.30%E -6.64%K -23.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-07 11:20
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -11.89%E -8.74%K -33.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 08:40
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.19%EV -4.11%E -2.78%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -13.01%E -2.41%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 11:13
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.18%EV -5.41%E -3.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.40%EV -14.63%E -2.76%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 11:10
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.18%EV -5.41%E -3.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.40%EV -14.63%E -2.76%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 11:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.53%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -14.63%E -2.76%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -10.21%E -2.17%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-07 11:10
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.52%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -15.43%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-07 11:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.00%EV -6.06%E -4.18%K -13.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -16.24%E -3.12%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.44%EV -10.21%E -2.17%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-07 11:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -19.46%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-07 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.46%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -14.03%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-07 11:05
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.46%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -14.03%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-07 11:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.65%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -21.07%E -4.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -10.21%E -2.17%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-07 11:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.21%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-08-07 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.21%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-08-07 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.21%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-08-07 11:25
Matchbook◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.21%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-08-07 11:25
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.83%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.80%1.1%2026-08-07 11:31