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Beijing FC v Shenzhen Peng City FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Beijing FC (Local)
Predicción 64.79%1.54momio equitativo
EV -4.11%
Ventaja -2.78%
Kelly -8.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.19%64.71%64.83%67.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.331.421.441.4875.19%70.45%69.44%67.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visitante)
Predicción 16.11%6.21momio equitativo
EV +8.73%
Ventaja +1.29%
Kelly +1.52%
Crecimiento +0.133%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.55%16.16%16.10%18.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.905.825.726.7520.41%17.17%17.47%14.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 19.10%5.23momio equitativo
EV -3.91%
Ventaja -0.777%
Kelly -0.970%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.03
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.46%19.13%19.07%21.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.304.804.805.0323.26%20.84%20.83%19.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Beijing FC (Local): 64.79%; Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visitante): 16.11%; Empate: 19.10%. Para Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.21. 11 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +8.73%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -10.59%E -7.68%K -27.88%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 09:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.71%EV -11.24%E -8.20%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-07 11:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -11.89%E -8.74%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 11:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -11.89%E -8.74%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 11:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -11.89%E -8.74%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 11:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -11.89%E -8.74%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 11:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -11.89%E -8.74%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 11:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.77%EV -12.54%E -9.29%K -35.82%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.55%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-07 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -13.83%E -10.40%K -41.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV +4.70%E +0.724%K +0.855%G +0.040% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-07 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -13.83%E -10.40%K -41.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV +4.70%E +0.724%K +0.855%G +0.040% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-07 11:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.02%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.10%EV +0.677%E +0.108%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 11:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.51%EV -5.41%E -3.71%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 6.18I 16.18%NM 15.48%EV -0.450%E -0.073%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.01%EV -3.91%E -0.777%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 11:31 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -8.00%E -5.63%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.35%E -0.558%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 11:31 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -8.00%E -5.63%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -3.35%E -0.558%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-07 11:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.28%EV -8.65%E -6.13%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -3.35%E -0.558%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 11:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -9.30%E -6.64%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -3.35%E -0.558%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-07 11:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -6.06%E -4.18%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV -4.96%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -6.06%E -4.18%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV -4.96%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -6.06%E -4.18%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV -4.96%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 11:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -4.96%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 11:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.59%EV -8.00%E -5.63%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -4.96%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 11:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.28%EV -4.76%E -3.24%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -7.38%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.00%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -7.38%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.73%EV -8.00%E -5.63%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV -8.18%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 11:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.49%EV -6.06%E -4.18%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.59I 17.89%NM 16.73%EV -9.95%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 18.78%EV -4.86%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 11:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.32%EV -4.11%E -2.78%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.65%EV -8.88%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 11:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-07 11:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-07 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-07 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-07 11:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-07 11:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-07 11:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.47%EV -6.06%E -4.18%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -17.85%E -4.15%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -9.30%E -6.64%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-07 11:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -9.30%E -6.64%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-07 11:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -11.89%E -8.74%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-07 08:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.19%EV -4.11%E -2.78%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -13.01%E -2.41%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 11:13 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.18%EV -5.41%E -3.71%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.40%EV -14.63%E -2.76%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 11:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.18%EV -5.41%E -3.71%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.40%EV -14.63%E -2.76%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 11:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.53%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -14.63%E -2.76%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -10.21%E -2.17%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-07 11:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.52%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -15.43%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-07 11:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.00%EV -6.06%E -4.18%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -16.24%E -3.12%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.44%EV -10.21%E -2.17%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-07 11:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -19.46%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-07 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.46%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -14.03%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-07 11:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.46%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -14.03%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-07 11:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.65%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -21.07%E -4.30%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -10.21%E -2.17%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-07 11:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.21% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.21% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.21% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 11:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.21% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 11:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.83% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.80% | 1.1% | 2026-08-07 11:31 |