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Beijing FC v Shenzhen Peng City FC
Resultado del partido
Beijing FC (Local)
Predicción 68.32%1.46momio equitativo
EV -5.72%
Ventaja -4.15%
Kelly -15.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.62%68.30%68.25%70.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.351.351.3876.92%74.22%74.07%72.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visitante)
Predicción 13.99%7.15momio equitativo
EV +4.90%
Ventaja +0.654%
Kelly +0.754%
Crecimiento +0.037%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.29%13.94%14.06%15.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.706.686.607.5017.54%14.96%15.15%13.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 17.70%5.65momio equitativo
EV -2.14%
Ventaja -0.387%
Kelly -0.472%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.22%17.75%17.70%18.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.705.145.155.5321.28%19.45%19.42%18.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Beijing FC (Local): 68.32%; Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visitante): 13.99%; Empate: 17.70%. Para Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 7.15. 5 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 7.50, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +4.90%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (27 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.15%EV -7.77%E -5.76%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +4.90%E +0.654%K +0.754%G +0.037% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -2.67%E -0.485%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 12:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.24%EV -9.14%E -6.87%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +4.90%E +0.654%K +0.754%G +0.037% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -4.44%E -0.822%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 12:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.24%EV -9.14%E -6.87%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +4.90%E +0.654%K +0.754%G +0.037% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -4.44%E -0.822%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 12:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.14%E -6.87%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +4.90%E +0.654%K +0.754%G +0.037% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -11.52%E -2.30%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 12:38 |
| 1xBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.54%EV -6.41%E -4.68%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.23%EV +0.706%E +0.098%K +0.114%G +0.001% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.23%EV -2.14%E -0.387%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.77%E -5.76%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -2.09%E -0.299%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.09%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 12:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.14%E -6.87%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -2.09%E -0.299%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -11.52%E -2.30%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-02 12:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.14%E -6.87%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -2.09%E -0.299%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -11.52%E -2.30%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-02 12:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -11.19%E -8.61%K -37.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -2.09%E -0.299%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -11.52%E -2.30%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-02 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.11%EV -8.46%E -6.31%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -3.49%E -0.506%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -6.21%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 12:19 |
| GTbets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.46%EV -5.72%E -4.15%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 6.84I 14.62%NM 13.81%EV -4.33%E -0.633%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.33I 18.76%NM 17.73%EV -5.68%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 12:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.73%EV -6.41%E -4.68%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 6.84I 14.62%NM 13.77%EV -4.33%E -0.633%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.50%EV -4.79%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 14:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -7.77%E -5.76%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.97%EV -7.69%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.73%EV -7.98%E -1.53%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 14:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -7.77%E -5.76%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.97%EV -7.69%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.73%EV -7.98%E -1.53%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 14:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.71%EV -6.41%E -4.68%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -9.08%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -8.86%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 14:20 |
| Betsson | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.71%EV -6.41%E -4.68%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -9.08%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -8.86%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 14:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -7.09%E -5.21%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.08%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -7.09%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -7.09%E -5.21%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.08%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.52%E -2.30%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 14:24 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -7.09%E -5.21%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.08%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.52%E -2.30%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 14:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -7.09%E -5.21%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.08%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.52%E -2.30%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -7.09%E -5.21%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.08%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.52%E -2.30%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 14:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.46%EV -7.77%E -5.76%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.69%EV -13.28%E -2.14%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -9.75%E -1.91%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-02 14:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.71%EV -7.77%E -5.76%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.53%EV -13.28%E -2.14%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV -15.06%E -3.14%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-02 14:20 |
| Betway | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -7.77%E -5.76%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -16.08%E -2.68%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.35%EV -7.09%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-02 14:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.63%EV -9.82%E -7.44%K -30.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.66%EV -16.08%E -2.68%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.71%EV -16.83%E -3.58%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-02 14:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.88%EV -8.46%E -6.31%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.19%EV -17.48%E -2.96%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.92%EV -11.52%E -2.30%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-02 14:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.62%EV -9.82%E -7.44%K -30.69%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.43%EV -20.27%E -3.56%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.95%EV -13.29%E -2.71%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-02 14:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.98% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.61% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.98% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.61% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.98% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.61% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |