StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Beijing FC v Shenzhen Peng City FC

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-07 11:35 UTC

Endstand: Beijing FC 4–0 Shenzhen Peng City FC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

46 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Beijing FC (Heim)

Prognose 64.79%1.54faire Quote
EV -4.11%
Vorteil -2.78%
Kelly -8.57%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.48

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
62.19%64.71%64.83%67.87%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.331.421.441.4875.19%70.45%69.44%67.57%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Auswärts)

Prognose 16.11%6.21faire Quote
EV +8.73%
Vorteil +1.29%
Kelly +1.52%
Wachstum +0.133%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
13.55%16.16%16.10%18.28%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.905.825.726.7520.41%17.17%17.47%14.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 19.10%5.23faire Quote
EV -3.91%
Vorteil -0.777%
Kelly -0.970%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.03

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
18.46%19.13%19.07%21.06%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.304.804.805.0323.26%20.84%20.83%19.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Beijing FC (Heim): 64.79%; Shenzhen Peng City FC (Auswärts): 16.11%; Unentschieden: 19.10%. Für Shenzhen Peng City FC (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 6.21. 11 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 6.75 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +8.73%.

Wettanbieterquoten (46 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -10.59%E -7.68%K -27.88%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 09:55
Unibet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.71%EV -11.24%E -8.20%K -30.38%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 11:25
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -11.89%E -8.74%K -33.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 11:25
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -11.89%E -8.74%K -33.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 11:30
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -11.89%E -8.74%K -33.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 11:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -11.89%E -8.74%K -33.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -11.89%E -8.74%K -33.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.77%EV -12.54%E -9.29%K -35.82%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.55%EV +8.73%E +1.29%K +1.52%G +0.133%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-07 11:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -13.83%E -10.40%K -41.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV +4.70%E +0.724%K +0.855%G +0.040%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-07 11:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -13.83%E -10.40%K -41.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV +4.70%E +0.724%K +0.855%G +0.040%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-07 11:30
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.02%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.10%EV +0.677%E +0.108%K +0.129%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 11:05
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.51%EV -5.41%E -3.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%6.18I 16.18%NM 15.48%EV -0.450%E -0.073%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.01%EV -3.91%E -0.777%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 11:31
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -8.00%E -5.63%K -19.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.35%E -0.558%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 11:31
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -8.00%E -5.63%K -19.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -3.35%E -0.558%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 11:25
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.28%EV -8.65%E -6.13%K -21.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -3.35%E -0.558%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 11:30
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -9.30%E -6.64%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -3.35%E -0.558%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-07 11:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -6.06%E -4.18%K -13.46%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV -4.96%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -6.06%E -4.18%K -13.46%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV -4.96%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 11:30
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -6.06%E -4.18%K -13.46%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV -4.96%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 11:30
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -4.96%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 11:15
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.59%EV -8.00%E -5.63%K -19.05%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -4.96%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 11:14
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.28%EV -4.76%E -3.24%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -7.38%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 11:30
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.00%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -7.38%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 11:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.73%EV -8.00%E -5.63%K -19.05%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV -8.18%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 11:20
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.49%EV -6.06%E -4.18%K -13.46%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 16.73%EV -9.95%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 18.78%EV -4.86%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 11:10
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.32%EV -4.11%E -2.78%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.65%EV -8.88%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 11:30
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 11:25
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 11:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 11:25
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 11:24
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 11:24
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.47%EV -6.06%E -4.18%K -13.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -17.85%E -4.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 10:50
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -9.30%E -6.64%K -23.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-07 11:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -9.30%E -6.64%K -23.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-07 11:20
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -11.89%E -8.74%K -33.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -11.40%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 08:40
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.19%EV -4.11%E -2.78%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -13.01%E -2.41%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 11:13
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.18%EV -5.41%E -3.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.40%EV -14.63%E -2.76%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 11:10
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.18%EV -5.41%E -3.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.40%EV -14.63%E -2.76%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 11:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.53%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -14.63%E -2.76%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -10.21%E -2.17%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-07 11:10
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.52%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -15.43%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-07 11:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.00%EV -6.06%E -4.18%K -13.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -16.24%E -3.12%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.44%EV -10.21%E -2.17%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-07 11:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -19.46%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-07 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.46%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -14.03%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-07 11:05
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.46%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -14.03%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-07 11:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.65%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -21.07%E -4.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -10.21%E -2.17%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-07 11:10
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.21%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-08-07 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.21%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-08-07 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.21%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-08-07 11:25
Matchbook◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.21%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-08-07 11:25
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.83%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.80%1.1%2026-08-07 11:31