Language:English
Beijing FC v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Beijing FC (Local)
Prediction 56.41%1.77fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.735%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.17%56.33%56.47%58.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.661.671.7563.69%60.31%59.88%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visit)
Prediction 22.00%4.55fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -0.525%
Kelly -0.678%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.07%22.09%21.95%24.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.114.104.4428.57%24.32%24.39%22.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.60%4.63fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -0.627%
Kelly -0.806%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.51%21.58%21.58%23.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.234.204.5025.00%23.63%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Beijing FC (Local): 56.41%; Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visit): 22.00%; Draw: 21.60%. For Beijing FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.75, with an expected value of -1.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.61%EV -1.29%E -0.735%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.42%EV -10.25%E -2.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.97%EV -6.06%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 02:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 02:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 02:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 02:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 02:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 02:38 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.83%EV -4.11%E -2.42%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.20%EV -4.11%E -2.42%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-30 02:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.61%EV -2.33%E -0.525%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.61%EV -4.12%E -0.927%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.36%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.88%EV -10.03%E -2.45%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.49%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-30 02:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.56%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -5.41%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-04 11:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-04 11:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-04 11:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.91%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -14.21%E -3.64%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.71%EV -6.36%E -3.83%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.21%E -0.730%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.71%EV -6.36%E -3.83%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.21%E -0.730%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.17%EV -6.36%E -3.83%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -15.31%E -3.98%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-30 02:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.17%EV -6.36%E -3.83%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -15.31%E -3.98%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-30 02:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -6.51%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -6.06%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -6.51%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -6.51%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.84%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.81%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -7.49%E -4.57%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -9.81%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -8.06%E -4.94%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -5.41%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -8.06%E -4.94%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -9.81%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.62%E -5.32%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -3.21%E -0.730%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.12%EV -8.62%E -5.32%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -8.62%E -5.32%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -14.21%E -3.64%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -8.62%E -5.32%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -14.21%E -3.64%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -9.18%E -5.70%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.18%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 11:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.18%E -5.70%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.61%EV -9.75%E -6.09%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -5.41%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 11:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.32%EV -10.31%E -6.49%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -3.21%E -0.730%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.69%EV -10.88%E -6.88%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -15.31%E -3.98%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -11.44%E -7.29%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.87%EV -11.44%E -7.29%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.61%EV -23.01%E -6.57%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.51%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-07-04 11:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 0.5% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 0.5% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 0.5% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |