赔率学院

Beijing FC v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

开赛时间: 2026-07-04 11:35 UTC

最终结果: Beijing FC 2–0 Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

45 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Beijing FC (主队)

预测 56.41%1.77公平赔率
EV -1.29%
优势 -0.735%
Kelly -1.72%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.75

博彩公司预测分布
54.17%56.33%56.47%58.32%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.571.661.671.7563.69%60.31%59.88%57.14%MIN均值中位数MAX

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (客队)

预测 22.00%4.55公平赔率
EV -2.33%
优势 -0.525%
Kelly -0.678%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.44

博彩公司预测分布
21.07%22.09%21.95%24.61%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.504.114.104.4428.57%24.32%24.39%22.52%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 21.60%4.63公平赔率
EV -2.82%
优势 -0.627%
Kelly -0.806%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.50

博彩公司预测分布
20.51%21.58%21.58%23.00%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.004.234.204.5025.00%23.63%23.81%22.22%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 54.61%EV -1.29%E -0.735%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.42%EV -10.25%E -2.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.97%EV -6.06%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 11:20
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 02:39
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 02:39
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 02:39
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 02:39
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 02:40
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 02:38
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.83%EV -4.11%E -2.42%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 11:30
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 54.20%EV -4.11%E -2.42%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-30 02:39
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.61%EV -2.33%E -0.525%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.61%EV -4.12%E -0.927%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-04 11:30
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.36%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 22.88%EV -10.03%E -2.45%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 11:30
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 11:30
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.49%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-30 02:39
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.56%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -5.41%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 11:30
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 11:30
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 11:30
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-04 11:30
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-04 11:15
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-04 11:25
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-04 11:15
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-04 11:15
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 54.91%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -14.21%E -3.64%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 11:30
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 56.71%EV -6.36%E -3.83%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.21%E -0.730%K -0.945%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 11:30
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 56.71%EV -6.36%E -3.83%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.21%E -0.730%K -0.945%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 11:30
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.17%EV -6.36%E -3.83%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -15.31%E -3.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 02:39
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.17%EV -6.36%E -3.83%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -15.31%E -3.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 02:39
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -6.51%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -6.06%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 11:25
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -6.51%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 11:25
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -6.51%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 11:25
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 55.84%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.81%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 11:25
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -7.49%E -4.57%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -9.81%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-04 11:25
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -8.06%E -4.94%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -5.41%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 11:30
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -8.06%E -4.94%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -9.81%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-04 11:30
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.62%E -5.32%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -3.21%E -0.730%K -0.945%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 11:25
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.12%EV -8.62%E -5.32%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-04 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -8.62%E -5.32%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -14.21%E -3.64%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 11:30
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -8.62%E -5.32%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -14.21%E -3.64%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 11:30
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -9.18%E -5.70%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.18%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 11:20
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.18%E -5.70%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-04 11:25
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.61%EV -9.75%E -6.09%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -5.41%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 11:20
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.32%EV -10.31%E -6.49%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -3.21%E -0.730%K -0.945%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 11:25
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.69%EV -10.88%E -6.88%K -18.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -15.31%E -3.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-04 11:25
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -11.44%E -7.29%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 11:25
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 54.87%EV -11.44%E -7.29%K -20.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.61%EV -23.01%E -6.57%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.51%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-04 11:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%0.5%2026-07-04 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%0.5%2026-07-04 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%0.5%2026-07-04 11:30
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-07-04 11:30