La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Beijing FC v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Beijing FC (Local)
Predicción 56.41%1.77momio equitativo
EV -1.29%
Ventaja -0.735%
Kelly -1.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.17%56.33%56.47%58.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.661.671.7563.69%60.31%59.88%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visitante)
Predicción 22.00%4.55momio equitativo
EV -2.33%
Ventaja -0.525%
Kelly -0.678%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.07%22.09%21.95%24.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.114.104.4428.57%24.32%24.39%22.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.60%4.63momio equitativo
EV -2.82%
Ventaja -0.627%
Kelly -0.806%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.51%21.58%21.58%23.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.234.204.5025.00%23.63%23.81%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.61%EV -1.29%E -0.735%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.42%EV -10.25%E -2.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.97%EV -6.06%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 02:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 02:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 02:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 02:39 |
| Unibet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 02:40 |
| betPARX | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 02:38 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.83%EV -4.11%E -2.42%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.20%EV -4.11%E -2.42%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-30 02:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.61%EV -2.33%E -0.525%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.61%EV -4.12%E -0.927%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.36%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.88%EV -10.03%E -2.45%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Bovada | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| BetUS | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.49%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-30 02:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.56%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -5.41%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-04 11:15 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-04 11:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-04 11:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.91%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -14.21%E -3.64%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.71%EV -6.36%E -3.83%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.21%E -0.730%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.71%EV -6.36%E -3.83%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.21%E -0.730%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.17%EV -6.36%E -3.83%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -15.31%E -3.98%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-30 02:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.17%EV -6.36%E -3.83%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -15.31%E -3.98%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-30 02:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -6.51%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -6.06%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -6.51%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -6.51%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.84%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.81%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -7.49%E -4.57%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -9.81%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -8.06%E -4.94%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -5.41%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -8.06%E -4.94%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -9.81%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.62%E -5.32%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -3.21%E -0.730%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.12%EV -8.62%E -5.32%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -8.62%E -5.32%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -14.21%E -3.64%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -8.62%E -5.32%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -14.21%E -3.64%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -9.18%E -5.70%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.18%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 11:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.18%E -5.70%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.61%EV -9.75%E -6.09%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -5.41%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 11:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.32%EV -10.31%E -6.49%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -3.21%E -0.730%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.69%EV -10.88%E -6.88%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -15.31%E -3.98%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -11.44%E -7.29%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.87%EV -11.44%E -7.29%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.61%EV -23.01%E -6.57%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.51%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-07-04 11:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 0.5% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 0.5% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 0.5% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |