L’École des cotesFrançais
Beijing FC v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Beijing FC (Local)
Prévision 56.41%1.77cote équitable
EV -1.29%
Avantage -0.735%
Kelly -1.72%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.17%56.33%56.47%58.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.661.671.7563.69%60.31%59.88%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.00%4.55cote équitable
EV -2.33%
Avantage -0.525%
Kelly -0.678%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.44
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.07%22.09%21.95%24.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.114.104.4428.57%24.32%24.39%22.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 21.60%4.63cote équitable
EV -2.82%
Avantage -0.627%
Kelly -0.806%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.51%21.58%21.58%23.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.234.204.5025.00%23.63%23.81%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.61%EV -1.29%E -0.735%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.42%EV -10.25%E -2.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.97%EV -6.06%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 02:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 02:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 02:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 02:39 |
| Unibet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 02:40 |
| betPARX | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 02:38 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.83%EV -4.11%E -2.42%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.20%EV -4.11%E -2.42%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-30 02:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.61%EV -2.33%E -0.525%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.61%EV -4.12%E -0.927%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.36%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.88%EV -10.03%E -2.45%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Bovada | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| BetUS | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.49%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.11%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-30 02:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.56%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -5.41%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-04 11:15 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-04 11:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-04 11:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.91%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -14.21%E -3.64%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.71%EV -6.36%E -3.83%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.21%E -0.730%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.71%EV -6.36%E -3.83%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.21%E -0.730%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.17%EV -6.36%E -3.83%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -15.31%E -3.98%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-30 02:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.17%EV -6.36%E -3.83%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -15.31%E -3.98%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-30 02:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -6.51%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -6.06%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -6.51%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -6.51%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.84%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.81%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -7.49%E -4.57%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -9.81%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -8.06%E -4.94%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -5.41%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -8.06%E -4.94%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -9.81%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.62%E -5.32%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -3.21%E -0.730%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.12%EV -8.62%E -5.32%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.01%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -8.62%E -5.32%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -14.21%E -3.64%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -8.62%E -5.32%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -14.21%E -3.64%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -9.18%E -5.70%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.18%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 11:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.18%E -5.70%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.61%EV -9.75%E -6.09%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -5.41%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 11:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.32%EV -10.31%E -6.49%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -3.21%E -0.730%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.69%EV -10.88%E -6.88%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -15.31%E -3.98%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -11.44%E -7.29%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.87%EV -11.44%E -7.29%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.61%EV -23.01%E -6.57%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.51%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-07-04 11:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 0.5% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 0.5% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 0.5% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |