Школа коэффициентов

Beijing FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC

Начало: 2026-05-15 12:00 UTC

Итог: Beijing FC 4–2 Qingdao Hainiu FC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

47 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Beijing FC (Хозяева)

Прогноз 70.32%1.42справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.66%
Преимущество -2.67%
Kelly -9.89%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.37

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
67.72%70.31%70.34%72.96%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.251.321.331.3780.00%75.84%75.19%72.99%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Гости)

Прогноз 12.21%8.19справедливый коэффициент
EV +9.43%
Преимущество +1.05%
Kelly +1.18%
Рост +0.112%

при максимальном коэффициенте 8.96

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
10.67%12.35%12.19%14.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
6.007.457.508.9616.67%13.42%13.33%11.16%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 17.46%5.73справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.04%
Преимущество +0.515%
Kelly +0.620%
Рост +0.019%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.90

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
15.67%17.34%17.46%19.23%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.505.195.005.9022.22%19.26%20.00%16.95%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 72.96%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000%8.96I 11.16%NM 10.67%EV +9.43%E +1.05%K +1.18%G +0.112%5.84I 17.12%NM 16.37%EV +1.99%E +0.341%K +0.411%G +0.008%4.6%2026-05-15 11:45
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 71.73%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.19%EV +2.59%E +0.308%K +0.350%G +0.009%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 11:50
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 71.73%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.19%EV +2.59%E +0.308%K +0.350%G +0.009%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 11:55
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.75%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.57%EV +0.758%E +0.092%K +0.105%G +0.001%5.72I 17.48%NM 16.68%EV -0.106%E -0.019%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 11:49
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.37%EV +0.758%E +0.092%K +0.105%G +0.001%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 11:50
BetUS1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.37%EV +0.758%E +0.092%K +0.105%G +0.001%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 11:54
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 11:39
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -5.77%E -4.30%K -16.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 11:49
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-15 11:50
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 72.78%EV -10.69%E -8.42%K -39.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV +3.04%E +0.515%K +0.620%G +0.019%8.2%2026-05-15 11:38
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -9.99%E -7.80%K -35.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-15 11:40
Tipico (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -9.99%E -7.80%K -35.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-15 11:39
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -9.99%E -7.80%K -35.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 11:54
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.27%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.73%EV -3.52%E -0.445%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.00%EV -4.82%E -0.885%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 11:50
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +0.418%E +0.073%K +0.088%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 11:45
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 10:59
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 10:59
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 11:00
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 11:00
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 11:00
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.77%E -4.30%K -16.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 11:05
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 11:24
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 11:45
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 11:49
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 11:45
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 11:45
Bet Right1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.17%E -5.43%K -22.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 11:50
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 11:43
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -12.10%E -9.68%K -48.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-15 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 69.23%EV -12.10%E -9.68%K -48.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.54%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -21.41%E -4.76%K -6.12%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-15 11:29
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 68.48%EV -3.66%E -2.67%K -9.89%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV -11.45%E -1.58%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.58%EV -11.81%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 11:40
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -11.45%E -1.58%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-15 11:49
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -14.51%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 11:49
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -14.51%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.84%EV -7.17%E -5.43%K -22.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -14.51%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 11:05
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 68.92%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -14.51%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -14.43%E -2.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-15 11:04
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 68.92%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -14.51%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -14.43%E -2.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-15 11:05
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 69.11%EV -5.77%E -4.30%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -15.73%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 11:49
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.11%EV -5.77%E -4.30%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -15.73%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 11:49
Codere (IT)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.74%EV -5.77%E -4.30%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.55%EV -16.95%E -2.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -9.19%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 11:54
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -20.61%E -3.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -20.61%E -3.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 11:30
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -20.61%E -3.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-15 11:55
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 68.48%EV -10.69%E -8.42%K -39.59%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.59%EV -21.84%E -3.41%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.93%EV -15.30%E -3.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-15 11:49
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.54%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -23.67%E -3.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -5.69%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 11:49
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.72%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -26.72%E -4.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-15 11:50
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.46%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.8%2026-05-15 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.29%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.1%2026-05-15 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.29%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.1%2026-05-15 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.29%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.1%2026-05-15 11:54
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 71.56%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.67%2.0%2026-05-15 11:30