L’École des cotes

Beijing FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-15 12:00 UTC

Score final : Beijing FC 4–2 Qingdao Hainiu FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Beijing FC (Local)

Prévision 70.32%1.42cote équitable
EV -3.66%
Avantage -2.67%
Kelly -9.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.72%70.31%70.34%72.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.321.331.3780.00%75.84%75.19%72.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.21%8.19cote équitable
EV +9.43%
Avantage +1.05%
Kelly +1.18%
Croissance +0.112%

avec la cote maximale 8.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.67%12.35%12.19%14.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.007.457.508.9616.67%13.42%13.33%11.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 17.46%5.73cote équitable
EV +3.04%
Avantage +0.515%
Kelly +0.620%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 5.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.67%17.34%17.46%19.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.195.005.9022.22%19.26%20.00%16.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 72.96%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000%8.96I 11.16%NM 10.67%EV +9.43%E +1.05%K +1.18%G +0.112%5.84I 17.12%NM 16.37%EV +1.99%E +0.341%K +0.411%G +0.008%4.6%2026-05-15 11:45
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 71.73%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.19%EV +2.59%E +0.308%K +0.350%G +0.009%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 11:50
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 71.73%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.19%EV +2.59%E +0.308%K +0.350%G +0.009%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 11:55
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.75%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.57%EV +0.758%E +0.092%K +0.105%G +0.001%5.72I 17.48%NM 16.68%EV -0.106%E -0.019%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 11:49
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.37%EV +0.758%E +0.092%K +0.105%G +0.001%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 11:50
BetUS1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.37%EV +0.758%E +0.092%K +0.105%G +0.001%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 11:54
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 11:39
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -5.77%E -4.30%K -16.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 11:49
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-15 11:50
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 72.78%EV -10.69%E -8.42%K -39.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV +3.04%E +0.515%K +0.620%G +0.019%8.2%2026-05-15 11:38
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -9.99%E -7.80%K -35.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-15 11:40
Tipico (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -9.99%E -7.80%K -35.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-15 11:39
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -9.99%E -7.80%K -35.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 11:54
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.27%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.73%EV -3.52%E -0.445%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.00%EV -4.82%E -0.885%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 11:50
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +0.418%E +0.073%K +0.088%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 11:45
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 10:59
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 10:59
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 11:00
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 11:00
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 11:00
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.77%E -4.30%K -16.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 11:05
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 11:24
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 11:45
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 11:49
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 11:45
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 11:45
Bet Right1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.17%E -5.43%K -22.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 11:50
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 11:43
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -12.10%E -9.68%K -48.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-15 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 69.23%EV -12.10%E -9.68%K -48.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.54%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -21.41%E -4.76%K -6.12%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-15 11:29
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 68.48%EV -3.66%E -2.67%K -9.89%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV -11.45%E -1.58%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.58%EV -11.81%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 11:40
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -11.45%E -1.58%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-15 11:49
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -14.51%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 11:49
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -14.51%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.84%EV -7.17%E -5.43%K -22.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -14.51%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 11:05
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 68.92%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -14.51%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -14.43%E -2.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-15 11:04
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 68.92%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -14.51%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -14.43%E -2.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-15 11:05
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 69.11%EV -5.77%E -4.30%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -15.73%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 11:49
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.11%EV -5.77%E -4.30%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -15.73%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 11:49
Codere (IT)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.74%EV -5.77%E -4.30%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.55%EV -16.95%E -2.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -9.19%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 11:54
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -20.61%E -3.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -20.61%E -3.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 11:30
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -20.61%E -3.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-15 11:55
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 68.48%EV -10.69%E -8.42%K -39.59%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.59%EV -21.84%E -3.41%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.93%EV -15.30%E -3.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-15 11:49
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.54%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -23.67%E -3.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -5.69%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 11:49
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.72%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -26.72%E -4.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-15 11:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.46%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.8%2026-05-15 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.29%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.1%2026-05-15 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.29%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.1%2026-05-15 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.29%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.1%2026-05-15 11:54
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 71.56%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.67%2.0%2026-05-15 11:30