مدرسة الاحتمالات

Beijing FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC

البداية: 2026-05-15 12:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Beijing FC 4–2 Qingdao Hainiu FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Beijing FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 70.32%1.42السعر العادل
EV -3.66%
الأفضلية -2.67%
Kelly -9.89%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.37

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
67.72%70.31%70.34%72.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.251.321.331.3780.00%75.84%75.19%72.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Qingdao Hainiu FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 12.21%8.19السعر العادل
EV +9.43%
الأفضلية +1.05%
Kelly +1.18%
النمو +0.112%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.96

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
10.67%12.35%12.19%14.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.007.457.508.9616.67%13.42%13.33%11.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 17.46%5.73السعر العادل
EV +3.04%
الأفضلية +0.515%
Kelly +0.620%
النمو +0.019%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.67%17.34%17.46%19.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.195.005.9022.22%19.26%20.00%16.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 72.96%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000%8.96I 11.16%NM 10.67%EV +9.43%E +1.05%K +1.18%G +0.112%5.84I 17.12%NM 16.37%EV +1.99%E +0.341%K +0.411%G +0.008%4.6%2026-05-15 11:45
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 71.73%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.19%EV +2.59%E +0.308%K +0.350%G +0.009%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 11:50
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 71.73%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.19%EV +2.59%E +0.308%K +0.350%G +0.009%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 11:55
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.75%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.57%EV +0.758%E +0.092%K +0.105%G +0.001%5.72I 17.48%NM 16.68%EV -0.106%E -0.019%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 11:49
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.37%EV +0.758%E +0.092%K +0.105%G +0.001%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 11:50
BetUS1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.37%EV +0.758%E +0.092%K +0.105%G +0.001%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 11:54
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 11:39
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -5.77%E -4.30%K -16.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 11:49
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-15 11:50
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 72.78%EV -10.69%E -8.42%K -39.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV +3.04%E +0.515%K +0.620%G +0.019%8.2%2026-05-15 11:38
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -9.99%E -7.80%K -35.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-15 11:40
Tipico (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -9.99%E -7.80%K -35.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-15 11:39
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -9.99%E -7.80%K -35.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 11:54
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.27%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.73%EV -3.52%E -0.445%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.00%EV -4.82%E -0.885%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 11:50
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +0.418%E +0.073%K +0.088%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 11:45
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 10:59
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 10:59
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 11:00
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 11:00
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 11:00
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.77%E -4.30%K -16.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 11:05
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 11:24
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 11:45
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 11:49
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 11:45
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 11:45
Bet Right1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.17%E -5.43%K -22.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 11:50
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 11:43
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -12.10%E -9.68%K -48.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-15 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 69.23%EV -12.10%E -9.68%K -48.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.54%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -21.41%E -4.76%K -6.12%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-15 11:29
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 68.48%EV -3.66%E -2.67%K -9.89%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV -11.45%E -1.58%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.58%EV -11.81%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 11:40
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -11.45%E -1.58%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-15 11:49
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -14.51%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 11:49
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -14.51%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.84%EV -7.17%E -5.43%K -22.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -14.51%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 11:05
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 68.92%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -14.51%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -14.43%E -2.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-15 11:04
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 68.92%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -14.51%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -14.43%E -2.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-15 11:05
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 69.11%EV -5.77%E -4.30%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -15.73%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 11:49
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.11%EV -5.77%E -4.30%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -15.73%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 11:49
Codere (IT)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.74%EV -5.77%E -4.30%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.55%EV -16.95%E -2.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -9.19%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 11:54
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -20.61%E -3.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -20.61%E -3.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 11:30
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -20.61%E -3.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-15 11:55
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 68.48%EV -10.69%E -8.42%K -39.59%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.59%EV -21.84%E -3.41%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.93%EV -15.30%E -3.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-15 11:49
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.54%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -23.67%E -3.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -5.69%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 11:49
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.72%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -26.72%E -4.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-15 11:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.46%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.8%2026-05-15 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.29%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.1%2026-05-15 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.29%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.1%2026-05-15 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.29%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.1%2026-05-15 11:54
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 71.56%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.67%2.0%2026-05-15 11:30