A Escola das Odds

Beijing FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC

Início: 2026-05-15 12:00 UTC

Final: Beijing FC 4–2 Qingdao Hainiu FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Beijing FC (Local)

Previsão 70.32%1.42odd justa
EV -3.66%
Vantagem -2.67%
Kelly -9.89%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.72%70.31%70.34%72.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.251.321.331.3780.00%75.84%75.19%72.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visitante)

Previsão 12.21%8.19odd justa
EV +9.43%
Vantagem +1.05%
Kelly +1.18%
Crescimento +0.112%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
10.67%12.35%12.19%14.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.007.457.508.9616.67%13.42%13.33%11.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 17.46%5.73odd justa
EV +3.04%
Vantagem +0.515%
Kelly +0.620%
Crescimento +0.019%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.67%17.34%17.46%19.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.505.195.005.9022.22%19.26%20.00%16.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 72.96%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000%8.96I 11.16%NM 10.67%EV +9.43%E +1.05%K +1.18%G +0.112%5.84I 17.12%NM 16.37%EV +1.99%E +0.341%K +0.411%G +0.008%4.6%2026-05-15 11:45
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 71.73%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.19%EV +2.59%E +0.308%K +0.350%G +0.009%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 11:50
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 71.73%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.19%EV +2.59%E +0.308%K +0.350%G +0.009%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 11:55
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.75%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.57%EV +0.758%E +0.092%K +0.105%G +0.001%5.72I 17.48%NM 16.68%EV -0.106%E -0.019%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 11:49
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.37%EV +0.758%E +0.092%K +0.105%G +0.001%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 11:50
BetUS1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.37%EV +0.758%E +0.092%K +0.105%G +0.001%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 11:54
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 11:39
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -5.77%E -4.30%K -16.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 11:49
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-15 11:50
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 72.78%EV -10.69%E -8.42%K -39.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV +3.04%E +0.515%K +0.620%G +0.019%8.2%2026-05-15 11:38
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -9.99%E -7.80%K -35.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-15 11:40
Tipico (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -9.99%E -7.80%K -35.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-15 11:39
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -9.99%E -7.80%K -35.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 11:54
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.27%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.73%EV -3.52%E -0.445%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.00%EV -4.82%E -0.885%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 11:50
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +0.418%E +0.073%K +0.088%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 11:45
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 10:59
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 10:59
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 11:00
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 11:00
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 11:00
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.77%E -4.30%K -16.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 11:05
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 11:24
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 11:45
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 11:49
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 11:45
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 11:45
Bet Right1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.17%E -5.43%K -22.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 11:50
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 11:43
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -12.10%E -9.68%K -48.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-15 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 69.23%EV -12.10%E -9.68%K -48.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.54%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -21.41%E -4.76%K -6.12%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-15 11:29
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 68.48%EV -3.66%E -2.67%K -9.89%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV -11.45%E -1.58%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.58%EV -11.81%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 11:40
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -11.45%E -1.58%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-15 11:49
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -14.51%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 11:49
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -14.51%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.84%EV -7.17%E -5.43%K -22.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -14.51%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 11:05
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 68.92%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -14.51%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -14.43%E -2.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-15 11:04
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 68.92%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -14.51%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -14.43%E -2.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-15 11:05
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 69.11%EV -5.77%E -4.30%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -15.73%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 11:49
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.11%EV -5.77%E -4.30%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -15.73%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 11:49
Codere (IT)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.74%EV -5.77%E -4.30%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.55%EV -16.95%E -2.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -9.19%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 11:54
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -20.61%E -3.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -20.61%E -3.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 11:30
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -20.61%E -3.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-15 11:55
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 68.48%EV -10.69%E -8.42%K -39.59%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.59%EV -21.84%E -3.41%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.93%EV -15.30%E -3.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-15 11:49
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.54%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -23.67%E -3.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -5.69%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 11:49
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.72%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -26.72%E -4.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-15 11:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.46%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.8%2026-05-15 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.29%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.1%2026-05-15 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.29%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.1%2026-05-15 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.29%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.1%2026-05-15 11:54
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 71.56%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.67%2.0%2026-05-15 11:30