La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Beijing FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Beijing FC (Local)
Predicción 70.32%1.42momio equitativo
EV -3.66%
Ventaja -2.67%
Kelly -9.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.72%70.31%70.34%72.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.321.331.3780.00%75.84%75.19%72.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visitante)
Predicción 12.21%8.19momio equitativo
EV +9.43%
Ventaja +1.05%
Kelly +1.18%
Crecimiento +0.112%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.67%12.35%12.19%14.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.007.457.508.9616.67%13.42%13.33%11.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 17.46%5.73momio equitativo
EV +3.04%
Ventaja +0.515%
Kelly +0.620%
Crecimiento +0.019%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.67%17.34%17.46%19.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.195.005.9022.22%19.26%20.00%16.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.96%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 8.96I 11.16%NM 10.67%EV +9.43%E +1.05%K +1.18%G +0.112% | 5.84I 17.12%NM 16.37%EV +1.99%E +0.341%K +0.411%G +0.008% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 11:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.73%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.19%EV +2.59%E +0.308%K +0.350%G +0.009% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-15 11:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.73%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.19%EV +2.59%E +0.308%K +0.350%G +0.009% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-15 11:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.75%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.57%EV +0.758%E +0.092%K +0.105%G +0.001% | 5.72I 17.48%NM 16.68%EV -0.106%E -0.019%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-15 11:49 |
| Bovada | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.37%EV +0.758%E +0.092%K +0.105%G +0.001% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 11:50 |
| BetUS | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.37%EV +0.758%E +0.092%K +0.105%G +0.001% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 11:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 11:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -5.77%E -4.30%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-15 11:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-15 11:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.78%EV -10.69%E -8.42%K -39.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV +3.04%E +0.515%K +0.620%G +0.019% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 11:38 |
| SportsBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -9.99%E -7.80%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-15 11:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -9.99%E -7.80%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-15 11:39 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -9.99%E -7.80%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -2.29%E -0.287%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-15 11:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.27%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.73%EV -3.52%E -0.445%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.00%EV -4.82%E -0.885%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 11:50 |
| Betway | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +0.418%E +0.073%K +0.088%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 11:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-15 10:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-15 10:59 |
| Unibet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-15 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-15 11:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-15 11:00 |
| betPARX | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-15 11:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.77%E -4.30%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 11:05 |
| betfred_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-15 11:24 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-15 11:45 |
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-15 11:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-15 11:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-15 11:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.17%E -5.43%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 11:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 11:43 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -12.10%E -9.68%K -48.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-15 11:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.23%EV -12.10%E -9.68%K -48.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.54%EV -8.40%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -21.41%E -4.76%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-15 11:29 |
| GTbets | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.48%EV -3.66%E -2.67%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV -11.45%E -1.58%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.58%EV -11.81%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 11:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -11.45%E -1.58%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-15 11:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -14.51%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-15 11:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -14.51%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 11:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.84%EV -7.17%E -5.43%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -14.51%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-15 11:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.92%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -14.51%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -14.43%E -2.94%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-15 11:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.92%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -14.51%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -14.43%E -2.94%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-15 11:05 |
| Betsson | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.11%EV -5.77%E -4.30%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -15.73%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 11:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.11%EV -5.77%E -4.30%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -15.73%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 11:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.74%EV -5.77%E -4.30%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.55%EV -16.95%E -2.49%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -9.19%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 11:54 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -20.61%E -3.17%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-15 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -20.61%E -3.17%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-15 11:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -20.61%E -3.17%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-15 11:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 68.48%EV -10.69%E -8.42%K -39.59%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.59%EV -21.84%E -3.41%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 17.93%EV -15.30%E -3.15%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-15 11:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.54%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -23.67%E -3.79%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -5.69%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 11:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.72%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -26.72%E -4.45%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-15 11:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.46% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.8% | 2026-05-15 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.29% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 1.1% | 2026-05-15 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.29% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 1.1% | 2026-05-15 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.29% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 1.1% | 2026-05-15 11:54 |
| Kalshi | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.56% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.67% | 2.0% | 2026-05-15 11:30 |