Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.53
assuming max odds 6.26
assuming max odds 4.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Beijing FC (Local): 63.38%; Dalian Yingbo (Visit): 15.81%; Draw: 20.81%. For Dalian Yingbo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 6.26, with an expected value of -1.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -3.03%E -1.98%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 17.63%EV -16.35%E -3.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.40%EV -9.27%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 11:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -3.67%E -2.41%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.14%EV -13.81%E -2.53%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.38%EV -9.06%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.90%EV -4.93%E -3.29%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 6.26I 15.97%NM 15.31%EV -1.01%E -0.161%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -4.07%E -0.883%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -4.93%E -3.29%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -4.93%E -3.29%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -4.93%E -3.29%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -4.93%E -3.29%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -4.93%E -3.29%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -4.93%E -3.29%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 10:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.31%EV -5.57%E -3.74%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 11:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.12%EV -5.57%E -3.74%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -11.56%E -2.72%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -6.20%E -4.19%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -1.16%E -0.186%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 10:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -6.20%E -4.19%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -1.16%E -0.243%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 11:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.20%E -4.19%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 11:26 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.20%E -4.19%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -6.20%E -4.19%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -6.20%E -4.19%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -11.56%E -2.72%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -6.20%E -4.19%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -13.02%E -2.37%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -14.68%E -3.58%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-06 11:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -6.84%E -4.65%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -1.95%E -0.315%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 11:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -6.84%E -4.65%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -1.95%E -0.315%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 11:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -6.84%E -4.65%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.85%EV -7.49%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 11:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.84%E -4.65%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -9.86%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.80%EV -7.40%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.84%E -4.65%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -9.86%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.80%EV -7.40%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -6.84%E -4.65%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.79%EV -7.47%E -5.12%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -11.44%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -8.10%E -5.59%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -9.86%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-06 11:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -8.10%E -5.59%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-06 10:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.66%EV -8.10%E -5.59%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -16.19%E -3.05%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -8.10%E -5.59%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-06 11:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.01%EV -8.10%E -5.59%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -11.44%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -14.68%E -3.58%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.01%EV -8.10%E -5.59%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -11.44%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -14.68%E -3.58%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -9.90%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-06 10:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -9.90%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-06 11:23 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -13.02%E -2.37%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -4.28%E -0.930%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.60%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-06 11:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-06 11:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-06 11:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-06 11:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.98%E -3.23%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-06 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.98%E -3.23%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-06 11:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -9.37%E -6.55%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -2.20%E -0.467%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.95%EV -10.00%E -7.05%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -20.93%E -4.19%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.46%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -11.27%E -8.05%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -13.02%E -2.37%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.60%EV -11.27%E -8.05%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.54%EV -16.19%E -3.05%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -11.27%E -8.05%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -20.93%E -4.19%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-06 11:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.24%EV -13.17%E -9.62%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.86%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-06 10:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 1.0% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 1.0% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 1.0% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 1.4% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.70% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.61% | 1.9% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |