La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Beijing FC v Dalian Yingbo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Beijing FC (Local)
Predicción 63.38%1.58momio equitativo
EV -3.03%
Ventaja -1.98%
Kelly -5.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.97%63.41%63.39%65.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.371.461.471.5372.99%68.40%68.03%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Dalian Yingbo (Visitante)
Predicción 15.81%6.32momio equitativo
EV -1.01%
Ventaja -0.161%
Kelly -0.191%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.90%15.85%15.79%17.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.725.756.2620.00%17.48%17.39%15.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.81%4.81momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.243%
Kelly -0.308%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.72%20.74%20.82%22.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.364.334.7524.39%22.95%23.09%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -3.03%E -1.98%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 17.63%EV -16.35%E -3.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.40%EV -9.27%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 11:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -3.67%E -2.41%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.14%EV -13.81%E -2.53%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.38%EV -9.06%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.90%EV -4.93%E -3.29%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 6.26I 15.97%NM 15.31%EV -1.01%E -0.161%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -4.07%E -0.883%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -4.93%E -3.29%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -4.93%E -3.29%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -4.93%E -3.29%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -4.93%E -3.29%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| betPARX | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -4.93%E -3.29%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -4.93%E -3.29%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 10:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.31%EV -5.57%E -3.74%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 11:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.12%EV -5.57%E -3.74%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -11.56%E -2.72%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -6.20%E -4.19%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -1.16%E -0.186%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 10:54 |
| Betway | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -6.20%E -4.19%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -1.16%E -0.243%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 11:15 |
| Bovada | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.20%E -4.19%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 11:26 |
| BetUS | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.20%E -4.19%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -6.20%E -4.19%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -6.20%E -4.19%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -11.56%E -2.72%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -6.20%E -4.19%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -13.02%E -2.37%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -14.68%E -3.58%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-06 11:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -6.84%E -4.65%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -1.95%E -0.315%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 11:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -6.84%E -4.65%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -1.95%E -0.315%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 11:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -6.84%E -4.65%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.85%EV -7.49%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 11:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.84%E -4.65%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -9.86%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.80%EV -7.40%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| Betsson | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.84%E -4.65%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -9.86%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.80%EV -7.40%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -6.84%E -4.65%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.79%EV -7.47%E -5.12%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -11.44%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -8.10%E -5.59%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -9.86%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-06 11:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -8.10%E -5.59%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-06 10:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.66%EV -8.10%E -5.59%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -16.19%E -3.05%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -8.10%E -5.59%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-06 11:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.01%EV -8.10%E -5.59%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -11.44%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -14.68%E -3.58%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.01%EV -8.10%E -5.59%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -11.44%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -14.68%E -3.58%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -9.90%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-06 10:53 |
| Bet Victor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -9.90%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-06 11:23 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -13.02%E -2.37%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -4.28%E -0.930%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.60%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-06 11:09 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-06 11:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-06 11:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-06 11:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.98%E -3.23%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-06 11:20 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.98%E -3.23%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-06 11:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -9.37%E -6.55%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -2.20%E -0.467%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.95%EV -10.00%E -7.05%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -20.93%E -4.19%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.46%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -11.27%E -8.05%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -13.02%E -2.37%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.60%EV -11.27%E -8.05%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.54%EV -16.19%E -3.05%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -11.27%E -8.05%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -20.93%E -4.19%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-06 11:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.24%EV -13.17%E -9.62%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.86%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-06 10:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 1.0% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 1.0% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 1.0% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 1.4% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.70% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.61% | 1.9% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |