L’École des cotes

Beijing FC v Dalian Yingbo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-06 11:35 UTC

Score final : Beijing FC 3–0 Dalian Yingbo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Beijing FC (Local)

Prévision 63.38%1.58cote équitable
EV -3.03%
Avantage -1.98%
Kelly -5.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.97%63.41%63.39%65.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.371.461.471.5372.99%68.40%68.03%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dalian Yingbo (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.81%6.32cote équitable
EV -1.01%
Avantage -0.161%
Kelly -0.191%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.90%15.85%15.79%17.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.725.756.2620.00%17.48%17.39%15.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.81%4.81cote équitable
EV -1.16%
Avantage -0.243%
Kelly -0.308%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.72%20.74%20.82%22.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.364.334.7524.39%22.95%23.09%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -3.03%E -1.98%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 17.63%EV -16.35%E -3.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.40%EV -9.27%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 11:15
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -3.67%E -2.41%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.14%EV -13.81%E -2.53%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.38%EV -9.06%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 11:25
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 63.90%EV -4.93%E -3.29%K -9.87%G +0.000%6.26I 15.97%NM 15.31%EV -1.01%E -0.161%K -0.191%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -4.07%E -0.883%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 11:30
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -4.93%E -3.29%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 10:45
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -4.93%E -3.29%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 10:45
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -4.93%E -3.29%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 10:45
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -4.93%E -3.29%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 10:45
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -4.93%E -3.29%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 10:45
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -4.93%E -3.29%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 10:44
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.31%EV -5.57%E -3.74%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 11:10
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 62.12%EV -5.57%E -3.74%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -11.56%E -2.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 10:45
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -6.20%E -4.19%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -1.16%E -0.186%K -0.222%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 10:54
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -6.20%E -4.19%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -1.16%E -0.243%K -0.308%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 11:15
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.20%E -4.19%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 11:26
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.20%E -4.19%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 11:25
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -6.20%E -4.19%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 11:25
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -6.20%E -4.19%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -11.56%E -2.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 10:45
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -6.20%E -4.19%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -13.02%E -2.37%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -14.68%E -3.58%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-06 11:09
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -6.84%E -4.65%K -14.55%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -1.95%E -0.315%K -0.376%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 11:15
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -6.84%E -4.65%K -14.55%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -1.95%E -0.315%K -0.376%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 11:15
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -6.84%E -4.65%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.85%EV -7.49%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 11:10
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.84%E -4.65%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -9.86%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.80%EV -7.40%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 11:24
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.84%E -4.65%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -9.86%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.80%EV -7.40%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 11:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -6.84%E -4.65%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-06 10:45
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.79%EV -7.47%E -5.12%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -11.44%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-06 11:25
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -8.10%E -5.59%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -9.86%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 11:09
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -8.10%E -5.59%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-06 10:54
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.66%EV -8.10%E -5.59%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -16.19%E -3.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-06 11:24
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -8.10%E -5.59%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-06 11:10
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.01%EV -8.10%E -5.59%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -11.44%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -14.68%E -3.58%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-06 10:45
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.01%EV -8.10%E -5.59%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -11.44%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -14.68%E -3.58%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-06 10:45
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -9.90%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-06 10:53
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -9.90%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-06 11:23
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -13.02%E -2.37%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -4.28%E -0.930%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-06 11:24
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.60%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-06 11:09
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-06 11:09
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-06 11:09
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-06 11:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.98%E -3.23%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-06 11:20
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.98%E -3.23%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-06 11:20
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -9.37%E -6.55%K -21.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -2.20%E -0.467%K -0.593%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 11:25
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.95%EV -10.00%E -7.05%K -23.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -20.93%E -4.19%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.46%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-06 11:24
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -11.27%E -8.05%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -13.02%E -2.37%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-06 11:25
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.60%EV -11.27%E -8.05%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.54%EV -16.19%E -3.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-06 11:24
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -11.27%E -8.05%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -20.93%E -4.19%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-06 11:19
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 65.24%EV -13.17%E -9.62%K -35.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.86%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-06 10:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-05-06 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-05-06 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-05-06 11:30
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%1.4%2026-05-06 11:30
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.70%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.61%1.9%2026-05-06 11:30