مدرسة الاحتمالات

Beijing FC v Dalian Yingbo

البداية: 2026-05-06 11:35 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Beijing FC 3–0 Dalian Yingbo

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Beijing FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 63.38%1.58السعر العادل
EV -3.03%
الأفضلية -1.98%
Kelly -5.72%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.53

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
60.97%63.41%63.39%65.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.371.461.471.5372.99%68.40%68.03%65.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Dalian Yingbo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 15.81%6.32السعر العادل
EV -1.01%
الأفضلية -0.161%
Kelly -0.191%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.26

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.90%15.85%15.79%17.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.005.725.756.2620.00%17.48%17.39%15.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 20.81%4.81السعر العادل
EV -1.16%
الأفضلية -0.243%
Kelly -0.308%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.72%20.74%20.82%22.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.104.364.334.7524.39%22.95%23.09%21.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -3.03%E -1.98%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 17.63%EV -16.35%E -3.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.40%EV -9.27%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 11:15
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -3.67%E -2.41%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.14%EV -13.81%E -2.53%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.38%EV -9.06%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 11:25
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 63.90%EV -4.93%E -3.29%K -9.87%G +0.000%6.26I 15.97%NM 15.31%EV -1.01%E -0.161%K -0.191%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -4.07%E -0.883%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 11:30
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -4.93%E -3.29%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 10:45
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -4.93%E -3.29%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 10:45
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -4.93%E -3.29%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 10:45
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -4.93%E -3.29%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 10:45
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -4.93%E -3.29%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 10:45
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -4.93%E -3.29%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 10:44
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.31%EV -5.57%E -3.74%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 11:10
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 62.12%EV -5.57%E -3.74%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -11.56%E -2.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 10:45
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -6.20%E -4.19%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -1.16%E -0.186%K -0.222%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 10:54
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -6.20%E -4.19%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -1.16%E -0.243%K -0.308%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 11:15
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.20%E -4.19%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 11:26
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.20%E -4.19%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 11:25
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -6.20%E -4.19%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 11:25
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -6.20%E -4.19%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -11.56%E -2.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 10:45
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -6.20%E -4.19%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -13.02%E -2.37%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -14.68%E -3.58%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-06 11:09
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -6.84%E -4.65%K -14.55%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -1.95%E -0.315%K -0.376%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 11:15
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -6.84%E -4.65%K -14.55%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -1.95%E -0.315%K -0.376%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 11:15
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -6.84%E -4.65%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.85%EV -7.49%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 11:10
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.84%E -4.65%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -9.86%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.80%EV -7.40%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 11:24
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.84%E -4.65%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -9.86%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.80%EV -7.40%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 11:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -6.84%E -4.65%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-06 10:45
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.79%EV -7.47%E -5.12%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -11.44%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-06 11:25
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -8.10%E -5.59%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -9.86%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 11:09
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -8.10%E -5.59%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-06 10:54
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.66%EV -8.10%E -5.59%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -16.19%E -3.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-06 11:24
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -8.10%E -5.59%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-06 11:10
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.01%EV -8.10%E -5.59%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -11.44%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -14.68%E -3.58%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-06 10:45
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.01%EV -8.10%E -5.59%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -11.44%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -14.68%E -3.58%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-06 10:45
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -9.90%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-06 10:53
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -9.90%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-06 11:23
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -13.02%E -2.37%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -4.28%E -0.930%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-06 11:24
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.60%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-06 11:09
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-06 11:09
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-06 11:09
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-06 11:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.98%E -3.23%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-06 11:20
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.98%E -3.23%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-06 11:20
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -9.37%E -6.55%K -21.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -2.20%E -0.467%K -0.593%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 11:25
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.95%EV -10.00%E -7.05%K -23.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -20.93%E -4.19%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.46%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-06 11:24
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -11.27%E -8.05%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -13.02%E -2.37%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-06 11:25
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.60%EV -11.27%E -8.05%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.54%EV -16.19%E -3.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-06 11:24
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -11.27%E -8.05%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -20.93%E -4.19%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-06 11:19
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 65.24%EV -13.17%E -9.62%K -35.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.86%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-06 10:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-05-06 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-05-06 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-05-06 11:30
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%1.4%2026-05-06 11:30
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.70%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.61%1.9%2026-05-06 11:30