Language:English
Universidad de Concepción v Palestino
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Universidad de Concepción (Local)
Prediction 37.00%2.70fair odd
EV -0.833%
Edge -0.311%
Kelly -0.496%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.00%36.89%37.08%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.492.502.6844.44%40.09%40.00%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Palestino (Visit)
Prediction 35.81%2.79fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.554%
Kelly -0.871%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.48%35.89%35.65%37.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.542.502.7542.55%39.38%40.00%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.19%3.68fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -0.590%
Kelly -0.817%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.40%27.21%27.27%29.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.333.303.6035.71%29.99%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universidad de Concepción (Local): 37.00%; Palestino (Visit): 35.81%; Draw: 27.19%. For Universidad de Concepción (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.68, with an expected value of -0.833%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.79%EV -0.833%E -0.311%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.18%EV -7.61%E -2.95%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.02%EV -3.48%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.73%EV -2.31%E -0.876%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.85%EV -8.33%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.42%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -11.19%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -11.19%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 14:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -11.19%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 14:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -11.19%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -11.19%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 14:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -11.19%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 14:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.90%EV -3.79%E -1.46%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.89%EV -1.52%E -0.554%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -3.79%E -1.46%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -12.27%E -5.01%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-15 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.63%EV -5.27%E -2.06%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.16%EV -1.88%E -0.687%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.21%EV -3.75%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 14:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.64%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.18%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -5.64%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -5.64%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.03%EV -12.98%E -5.34%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.97%EV -6.75%E -2.68%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.58%EV -2.12%E -0.590%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.97%EV -6.75%E -2.68%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.58%EV -2.12%E -0.590%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -3.48%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 14:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -8.23%E -3.32%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.00%EV -4.03%E -1.50%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -8.23%E -3.32%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.00%EV -4.03%E -1.50%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.36%EV -8.23%E -3.32%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.23%EV -5.82%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -8.10%E -2.40%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.54%EV -8.60%E -3.48%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 37.20%EV -15.49%E -6.56%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.26%EV -12.45%E -3.87%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-15 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-15 14:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -11.19%E -4.66%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -11.19%E -4.66%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -11.19%E -4.66%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -11.93%E -5.01%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -11.93%E -5.01%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.86%EV -11.93%E -5.01%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.55%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-15 14:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -13.04%E -5.55%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.38%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 35.97%EV -14.89%E -6.48%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.48%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.55%EV -23.87%E -8.53%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 20.9% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.10%EV -16.74%E -7.44%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 35.52%EV -15.85%E -6.74%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.37%EV -17.08%E -5.60%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.26% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.0% | 2026-03-15 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.13% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.26% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61% | 2.0% | 2026-03-15 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.13% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.26% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61% | 2.0% | 2026-03-15 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.13% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.26% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61% | 2.0% | 2026-03-15 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.39% | 2.9% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |