مدرسة الاحتمالات

Universidad de Concepción v Palestino

البداية: 2026-03-15 15:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Universidad de Concepción (المضيف)

التنبؤ 37.00%2.70السعر العادل
EV -0.833%
الأفضلية -0.311%
Kelly -0.496%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.68

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.00%36.89%37.08%37.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.492.502.6844.44%40.09%40.00%37.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Palestino (الضيف)

التنبؤ 35.81%2.79السعر العادل
EV -1.52%
الأفضلية -0.554%
Kelly -0.871%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.48%35.89%35.65%37.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.352.542.502.7542.55%39.38%40.00%36.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.19%3.68السعر العادل
EV -2.12%
الأفضلية -0.590%
Kelly -0.817%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.40%27.21%27.27%29.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.333.303.6035.71%29.99%30.30%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.79%EV -0.833%E -0.311%K -0.496%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.18%EV -7.61%E -2.95%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.02%EV -3.48%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 14:55
GTbets2.64I 37.88%NM 35.73%EV -2.31%E -0.876%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.85%EV -8.33%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.42%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 15:05
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -11.19%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -11.19%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 14:25
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -11.19%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 14:30
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -11.19%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 14:35
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -11.19%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 14:30
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -11.19%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 14:30
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.90%EV -3.79%E -1.46%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.89%EV -1.52%E -0.554%K -0.871%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 14:45
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -3.79%E -1.46%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -12.27%E -5.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 14:30
Pinnacle2.56I 39.06%NM 37.63%EV -5.27%E -2.06%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.16%EV -1.88%E -0.687%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.21%EV -3.75%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 14:50
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.64%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.18%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 14:40
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -5.64%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 14:35
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -5.64%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.03%EV -12.98%E -5.34%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 14:30
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.97%EV -6.75%E -2.68%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.58%EV -2.12%E -0.590%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 14:45
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.97%EV -6.75%E -2.68%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.58%EV -2.12%E -0.590%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 14:45
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -3.48%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 14:40
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:55
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:35
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:40
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:35
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 14:40
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 14:40
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 14:10
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 14:55
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -8.23%E -3.32%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.00%EV -4.03%E -1.50%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 14:45
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -8.23%E -3.32%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.00%EV -4.03%E -1.50%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 14:45
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.36%EV -8.23%E -3.32%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.23%EV -5.82%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -8.10%E -2.40%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:55
Unibet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 35.54%EV -8.60%E -3.48%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 37.20%EV -15.49%E -6.56%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.26%EV -12.45%E -3.87%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 14:50
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 14:49
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 14:40
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 14:35
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 14:40
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-15 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-15 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-15 14:35
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-15 14:35
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-15 14:35
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -11.19%E -4.66%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 14:45
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -11.19%E -4.66%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-15 14:45
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -11.19%E -4.66%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 14:40
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -11.93%E -5.01%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 14:45
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -11.93%E -5.01%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 14:45
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.86%EV -11.93%E -5.01%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.55%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-15 14:34
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -13.04%E -5.55%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.38%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-15 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 35.97%EV -14.89%E -6.48%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.48%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.55%EV -23.87%E -8.53%K -13.26%G +0.000%20.9%2026-03-15 14:40
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.10%EV -16.74%E -7.44%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.52%EV -15.85%E -6.74%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.37%EV -17.08%E -5.60%K -8.33%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-15 14:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.26%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-03-15 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.13%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61%2.0%2026-03-15 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.13%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61%2.0%2026-03-15 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.13%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61%2.0%2026-03-15 14:50
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.39%2.9%2026-03-15 14:55