L’École des cotes

Universidad de Concepción v Palestino

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Universidad de Concepción (Local)

Prévision 37.00%2.70cote équitable
EV -0.833%
Avantage -0.311%
Kelly -0.496%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.00%36.89%37.08%37.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.492.502.6844.44%40.09%40.00%37.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Palestino (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.81%2.79cote équitable
EV -1.52%
Avantage -0.554%
Kelly -0.871%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.48%35.89%35.65%37.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.542.502.7542.55%39.38%40.00%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.19%3.68cote équitable
EV -2.12%
Avantage -0.590%
Kelly -0.817%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.40%27.21%27.27%29.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.333.303.6035.71%29.99%30.30%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.79%EV -0.833%E -0.311%K -0.496%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.18%EV -7.61%E -2.95%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.02%EV -3.48%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 14:55
GTbets2.64I 37.88%NM 35.73%EV -2.31%E -0.876%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.85%EV -8.33%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.42%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 15:05
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -11.19%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -11.19%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 14:25
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -11.19%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 14:30
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -11.19%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 14:35
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -11.19%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 14:30
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -11.19%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 14:30
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.90%EV -3.79%E -1.46%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.89%EV -1.52%E -0.554%K -0.871%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 14:45
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -3.79%E -1.46%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -12.27%E -5.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 14:30
Pinnacle2.56I 39.06%NM 37.63%EV -5.27%E -2.06%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.16%EV -1.88%E -0.687%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.21%EV -3.75%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 14:50
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.64%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.18%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 14:40
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -5.64%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 14:35
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -5.64%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.03%EV -12.98%E -5.34%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 14:30
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.97%EV -6.75%E -2.68%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.58%EV -2.12%E -0.590%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 14:45
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.97%EV -6.75%E -2.68%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.58%EV -2.12%E -0.590%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 14:45
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -3.48%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 14:40
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:55
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:35
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:40
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:35
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 14:40
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 14:40
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 14:10
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 14:55
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -8.23%E -3.32%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.00%EV -4.03%E -1.50%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 14:45
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -8.23%E -3.32%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.00%EV -4.03%E -1.50%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 14:45
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.36%EV -8.23%E -3.32%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.23%EV -5.82%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -8.10%E -2.40%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:55
Unibet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 35.54%EV -8.60%E -3.48%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 37.20%EV -15.49%E -6.56%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.26%EV -12.45%E -3.87%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 14:50
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 14:49
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 14:40
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 14:35
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 14:40
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-15 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-15 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-15 14:35
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-15 14:35
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-15 14:35
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -11.19%E -4.66%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 14:45
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -11.19%E -4.66%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-15 14:45
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -11.19%E -4.66%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 14:40
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -11.93%E -5.01%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 14:45
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -11.93%E -5.01%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 14:45
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.86%EV -11.93%E -5.01%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.55%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-15 14:34
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -13.04%E -5.55%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.38%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-15 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 35.97%EV -14.89%E -6.48%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.48%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.55%EV -23.87%E -8.53%K -13.26%G +0.000%20.9%2026-03-15 14:40
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.10%EV -16.74%E -7.44%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.52%EV -15.85%E -6.74%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.37%EV -17.08%E -5.60%K -8.33%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-15 14:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.26%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-03-15 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.13%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61%2.0%2026-03-15 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.13%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61%2.0%2026-03-15 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.13%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61%2.0%2026-03-15 14:50
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.39%2.9%2026-03-15 14:55