Idioma:Español
Universidad de Concepción v Palestino
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Universidad de Concepción (Local)
Predicción 37.00%2.70momio equitativo
EV -0.833%
Ventaja -0.311%
Kelly -0.496%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.00%36.89%37.08%37.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.492.502.6844.44%40.09%40.00%37.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Palestino (Visitante)
Predicción 35.81%2.79momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.554%
Kelly -0.871%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.48%35.89%35.65%37.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.542.502.7542.55%39.38%40.00%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.19%3.68momio equitativo
EV -2.12%
Ventaja -0.590%
Kelly -0.817%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.40%27.21%27.27%29.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.333.303.6035.71%29.99%30.30%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Universidad de Concepción (Local): 37.00%; Palestino (Visitante): 35.81%; Empate: 27.19%. Para Universidad de Concepción (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.70. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.68, con un valor esperado de -0.833%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.79%EV -0.833%E -0.311%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.18%EV -7.61%E -2.95%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.02%EV -3.48%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.73%EV -2.31%E -0.876%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.85%EV -8.33%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.42%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -11.19%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -11.19%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 14:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -11.19%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 14:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -11.19%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -11.19%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 14:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -11.19%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 14:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.90%EV -3.79%E -1.46%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.89%EV -1.52%E -0.554%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -3.79%E -1.46%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -12.27%E -5.01%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-15 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.63%EV -5.27%E -2.06%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.16%EV -1.88%E -0.687%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.21%EV -3.75%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 14:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.64%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.18%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -5.64%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -5.64%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.03%EV -12.98%E -5.34%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.97%EV -6.75%E -2.68%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.58%EV -2.12%E -0.590%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.97%EV -6.75%E -2.68%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.58%EV -2.12%E -0.590%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -3.48%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 14:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -8.23%E -3.32%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.00%EV -4.03%E -1.50%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -8.23%E -3.32%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.00%EV -4.03%E -1.50%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.36%EV -8.23%E -3.32%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.23%EV -5.82%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -8.10%E -2.40%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.54%EV -8.60%E -3.48%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 37.20%EV -15.49%E -6.56%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.26%EV -12.45%E -3.87%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-15 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-15 14:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -11.19%E -4.66%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -11.19%E -4.66%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -11.19%E -4.66%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -11.93%E -5.01%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -11.93%E -5.01%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.86%EV -11.93%E -5.01%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.55%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-15 14:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -13.04%E -5.55%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.38%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 35.97%EV -14.89%E -6.48%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.48%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.55%EV -23.87%E -8.53%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 20.9% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.10%EV -16.74%E -7.44%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 35.52%EV -15.85%E -6.74%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.37%EV -17.08%E -5.60%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.26% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.0% | 2026-03-15 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.13% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.26% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61% | 2.0% | 2026-03-15 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.13% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.26% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61% | 2.0% | 2026-03-15 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.13% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.26% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61% | 2.0% | 2026-03-15 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.39% | 2.9% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |