Language:English
Universidad de Concepción v La Serena
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Universidad de Concepción (Local)
Prediction 41.49%2.41fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.84%41.58%41.48%44.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.222.222.3548.78%45.11%45.05%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
La Serena (Visit)
Prediction 30.88%3.24fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -2.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.21%30.83%30.83%32.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.872.973.003.1034.84%33.62%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.62%3.62fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.545%
Kelly -0.759%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.61%27.60%27.69%29.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.273.303.5532.79%30.55%30.30%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universidad de Concepción (Local): 41.49%; La Serena (Visit): 30.88%; Draw: 27.62%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.55, with an expected value of -1.94%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.89%EV -2.49%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.03%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV -1.94%E -0.545%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -3.74%E -1.61%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.78%EV -8.58%E -2.90%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -3.74%E -1.61%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.78%EV -8.58%E -2.90%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 22:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.70%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.17%EV -4.57%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.13%EV -1.94%E -0.545%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -4.70%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 22:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -8.89%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 22:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.40%E -2.37%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -1.94%E -0.545%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 22:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.12%EV -5.40%E -2.37%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.15%EV -7.04%E -2.34%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.74%EV -6.63%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 22:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 22:43 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 22:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -14.37%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-14 22:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -14.37%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-14 22:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.36%E -3.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -14.37%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.36%E -3.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -14.37%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.37%EV -7.06%E -3.15%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -7.74%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 22:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 22:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 22:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 22:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -7.89%E -3.55%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -7.89%E -3.55%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.32%E -0.948%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-14 22:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -10.22%E -3.15%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -10.22%E -3.15%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-14 22:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.22%E -3.15%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-14 22:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-14 22:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-14 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.38%EV -10.38%E -4.80%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -14.37%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-14 22:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -10.79%E -5.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.89%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-14 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.79%E -5.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-14 22:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.79%E -5.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -10.79%E -5.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-14 22:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.79%E -5.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.37%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-14 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.41%EV -11.21%E -5.24%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.05%EV -15.75%E -5.16%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-14 22:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.41%EV -11.21%E -5.24%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.05%EV -15.75%E -5.16%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-14 22:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -12.87%E -6.13%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-14 22:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -12.87%E -6.13%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.30%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -14.37%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -14.94%E -7.29%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 22:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.13% | 0.1% | 2026-08-14 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.03% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.69% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-08-14 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49% | 1.9% | 2026-08-14 22:50 |