Idioma:Español
Universidad de Concepción v La Serena
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Universidad de Concepción (Local)
Predicción 41.49%2.41momio equitativo
EV -2.49%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -1.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.84%41.58%41.48%44.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.222.222.3548.78%45.11%45.05%42.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
La Serena (Visitante)
Predicción 30.88%3.24momio equitativo
EV -4.26%
Ventaja -1.37%
Kelly -2.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.21%30.83%30.83%32.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.872.973.003.1034.84%33.62%33.33%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.62%3.62momio equitativo
EV -1.94%
Ventaja -0.545%
Kelly -0.759%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.61%27.60%27.69%29.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.273.303.5532.79%30.55%30.30%28.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Universidad de Concepción (Local): 41.49%; La Serena (Visitante): 30.88%; Empate: 27.62%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.62. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.55, con un valor esperado de -1.94%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.89%EV -2.49%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.03%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV -1.94%E -0.545%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -3.74%E -1.61%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.78%EV -8.58%E -2.90%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -3.74%E -1.61%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.78%EV -8.58%E -2.90%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 22:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.70%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.17%EV -4.57%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.13%EV -1.94%E -0.545%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -4.70%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 22:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -8.89%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 22:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.40%E -2.37%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -1.94%E -0.545%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 22:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.12%EV -5.40%E -2.37%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.15%EV -7.04%E -2.34%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.74%EV -6.63%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 22:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 22:43 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 22:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -14.37%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-14 22:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -14.37%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-14 22:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.36%E -3.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -14.37%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.36%E -3.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -14.37%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.37%EV -7.06%E -3.15%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -7.74%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 22:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 22:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 22:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 22:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -7.89%E -3.55%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -7.89%E -3.55%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.32%E -0.948%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-14 22:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -10.22%E -3.15%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -10.22%E -3.15%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-14 22:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.22%E -3.15%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-14 22:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-14 22:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-14 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.38%EV -10.38%E -4.80%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -14.37%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-14 22:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -10.79%E -5.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.89%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-14 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.79%E -5.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-14 22:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.79%E -5.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -10.79%E -5.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-14 22:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.79%E -5.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.37%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-14 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.41%EV -11.21%E -5.24%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.05%EV -15.75%E -5.16%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-14 22:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.41%EV -11.21%E -5.24%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.05%EV -15.75%E -5.16%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-14 22:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -12.87%E -6.13%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-14 22:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -12.87%E -6.13%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.30%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -14.37%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -14.94%E -7.29%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 22:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.13% | 0.1% | 2026-08-14 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.03% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.69% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-08-14 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49% | 1.9% | 2026-08-14 22:50 |