Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.35
avec la cote maximale 3.10
avec la cote maximale 3.55
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Universidad de Concepción (Local) : 41.49% ; La Serena (Visiteur) : 30.88% ; Match nul : 27.62%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.62. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.55, pour une espérance de -1.94% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.89%EV -2.49%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.03%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV -1.94%E -0.545%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -3.74%E -1.61%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.78%EV -8.58%E -2.90%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -3.74%E -1.61%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.78%EV -8.58%E -2.90%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 22:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.70%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.17%EV -4.57%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.13%EV -1.94%E -0.545%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -4.70%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 22:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -8.89%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 22:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.40%E -2.37%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -1.94%E -0.545%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 22:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.12%EV -5.40%E -2.37%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.15%EV -7.04%E -2.34%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.74%EV -6.63%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 22:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 22:43 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 22:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -14.37%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-14 22:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -14.37%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-14 22:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.36%E -3.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -14.37%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.36%E -3.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -14.37%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.37%EV -7.06%E -3.15%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -7.74%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 22:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 22:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 22:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.47%E -3.35%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 22:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -7.89%E -3.55%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -7.89%E -3.55%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.32%E -0.948%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-14 22:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -10.22%E -3.15%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -10.22%E -3.15%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-14 22:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.22%E -3.15%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-14 22:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-14 22:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.72%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-14 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.38%EV -10.38%E -4.80%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -14.37%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-14 22:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -10.79%E -5.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.89%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-14 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.79%E -5.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-14 22:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.79%E -5.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -10.79%E -5.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-14 22:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.79%E -5.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.37%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-14 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.41%EV -11.21%E -5.24%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.05%EV -15.75%E -5.16%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-14 22:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.41%EV -11.21%E -5.24%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.05%EV -15.75%E -5.16%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-14 22:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -12.87%E -6.13%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-14 22:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -12.87%E -6.13%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.30%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -14.37%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -14.94%E -7.29%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 22:39 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.13% | 0.1% | 2026-08-14 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.03% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.69% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-08-14 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49% | 1.9% | 2026-08-14 22:50 |