Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.71
assuming max odds 5.85
assuming max odds 3.89
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universidad de Chile (Local): 57.08%; La Serena (Visit): 17.73%; Draw: 25.19%. For La Serena (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.64. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.72%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.92%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.44%EV +3.72%E +0.636%K +0.767%G +0.029% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.64%EV -5.52%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.48%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.63I 17.76%NM 17.05%EV -0.181%E -0.032%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.46%EV -5.02%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-05 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.55%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -0.713%E -0.127%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.55%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -0.713%E -0.127%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 21:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.91%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.38%EV -1.95%E -0.353%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.71%EV -1.99%E -0.513%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 21:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -2.49%E -0.452%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 21:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -2.49%E -0.452%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 21:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.27%EV -13.24%E -8.71%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -2.49%E -0.452%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-05 21:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.01%EV -3.37%E -0.619%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 21:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.24%EV -2.40%E -1.40%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.11%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV -5.52%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.92%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 21:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.92%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -6.92%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -6.92%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 21:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 21:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -5.52%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 21:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-05 21:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-05 21:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -8.11%E -5.04%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 21:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 21:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 21:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-05 21:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 21:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -10.39%E -6.62%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-05 21:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -10.39%E -6.62%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-05 21:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -12.24%E -2.47%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -12.24%E -2.47%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.71%EV -9.82%E -6.22%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -13.12%E -2.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -3.00%E -0.780%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-05 21:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.45%EV -6.40%E -3.90%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -13.12%E -2.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.76%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -13.12%E -2.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.58%EV -13.82%E -9.15%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 17.93%EV -14.01%E -2.89%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.49%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-05 21:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.90%E -3.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.90%E -3.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.90%E -3.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.90%E -3.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.33%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.64%EV -15.78%E -3.32%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.34%E -4.22%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-05 21:48 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 56.92%EV -12.10%E -7.86%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -18.44%E -4.01%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -8.04%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-05 21:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.98% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.96% | 0.1% | 2026-04-05 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.15% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.66% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.20% | 1.8% | 2026-04-05 21:55 |