La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Universidad de Chile v La Serena
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Universidad de Chile (Local)
Predicción 57.08%1.75momio equitativo
EV -2.40%
Ventaja -1.40%
Kelly -3.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.33%57.10%56.97%59.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.621.601.7166.23%61.80%62.50%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
La Serena (Visitante)
Predicción 17.73%5.64momio equitativo
EV +3.72%
Ventaja +0.636%
Kelly +0.767%
Crecimiento +0.029%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.38%17.73%17.83%19.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.605.105.005.8521.74%19.61%20.00%17.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.19%3.97momio equitativo
EV -1.99%
Ventaja -0.513%
Kelly -0.690%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.89
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.68%25.17%25.20%26.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.633.603.8929.41%27.52%27.78%25.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.92%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.44%EV +3.72%E +0.636%K +0.767%G +0.029% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.64%EV -5.52%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 13:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.48%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.63I 17.76%NM 17.05%EV -0.181%E -0.032%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.46%EV -5.02%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-05 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.55%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -0.713%E -0.127%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.55%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -0.713%E -0.127%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 21:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.91%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.38%EV -1.95%E -0.353%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.71%EV -1.99%E -0.513%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 21:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -2.49%E -0.452%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 21:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -2.49%E -0.452%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 21:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.27%EV -13.24%E -8.71%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -2.49%E -0.452%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-05 21:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.01%EV -3.37%E -0.619%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 21:55 |
| GTbets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.24%EV -2.40%E -1.40%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.11%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV -5.52%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.92%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 21:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.92%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -6.92%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -6.92%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 21:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 21:25 |
| Bovada | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -5.52%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 21:50 |
| BetUS | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-05 21:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-05 21:40 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -8.11%E -5.04%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 21:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 21:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 21:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-05 21:54 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 21:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -10.39%E -6.62%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-05 21:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -10.39%E -6.62%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-05 21:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -12.24%E -2.47%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 21:55 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -12.24%E -2.47%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.71%EV -9.82%E -6.22%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -13.12%E -2.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -3.00%E -0.780%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-05 21:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.45%EV -6.40%E -3.90%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -13.12%E -2.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.76%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -13.12%E -2.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.58%EV -13.82%E -9.15%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 17.93%EV -14.01%E -2.89%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.49%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-05 21:34 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.90%E -3.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| Neds | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.90%E -3.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.90%E -3.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.90%E -3.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 21:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.33%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.64%EV -15.78%E -3.32%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.34%E -4.22%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-05 21:48 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 56.92%EV -12.10%E -7.86%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -18.44%E -4.01%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -8.04%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-05 21:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.98% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.96% | 0.1% | 2026-04-05 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.15% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.66% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.20% | 1.8% | 2026-04-05 21:55 |