L’École des cotes

Universidad de Chile v La Serena

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 22:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Universidad de Chile (Local)

Prévision 57.08%1.75cote équitable
EV -2.40%
Avantage -1.40%
Kelly -3.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.33%57.10%56.97%59.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.511.621.601.7166.23%61.80%62.50%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

La Serena (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.73%5.64cote équitable
EV +3.72%
Avantage +0.636%
Kelly +0.767%
Croissance +0.029%

avec la cote maximale 5.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.38%17.73%17.83%19.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.605.105.005.8521.74%19.61%20.00%17.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.19%3.97cote équitable
EV -1.99%
Avantage -0.513%
Kelly -0.690%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.68%25.17%25.20%26.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.633.603.8929.41%27.52%27.78%25.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.92%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.44%EV +3.72%E +0.636%K +0.767%G +0.029%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.64%EV -5.52%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 13:55
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 57.48%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.63I 17.76%NM 17.05%EV -0.181%E -0.032%K -0.039%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.46%EV -5.02%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 21:45
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.55%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -0.713%E -0.127%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 21:55
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.55%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -0.713%E -0.127%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 21:55
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.91%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.38%EV -1.95%E -0.353%K -0.431%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.71%EV -1.99%E -0.513%K -0.690%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 21:54
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -2.49%E -0.452%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 21:45
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -2.49%E -0.452%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 21:54
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.27%EV -13.24%E -8.71%K -25.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -2.49%E -0.452%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 21:55
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.01%EV -3.37%E -0.619%K -0.758%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 21:55
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.24%EV -2.40%E -1.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.11%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV -5.52%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 21:30
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.92%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 21:49
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.92%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 21:30
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -6.92%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 21:30
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -6.92%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 21:39
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 21:30
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 21:30
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 21:30
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 21:30
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 21:30
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 21:25
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -5.52%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 21:50
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 21:54
Codere (IT)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 21:40
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -8.11%E -5.04%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 21:50
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 21:44
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 21:35
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 21:54
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 21:55
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 21:55
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 21:55
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -10.39%E -6.62%K -18.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 21:45
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -10.39%E -6.62%K -18.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 21:45
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -12.24%E -2.47%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 21:55
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -12.24%E -2.47%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 21:55
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.71%EV -9.82%E -6.22%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -13.12%E -2.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -3.00%E -0.780%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-05 21:34
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.45%EV -6.40%E -3.90%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -13.12%E -2.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 21:30
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.76%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -13.12%E -2.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 21:30
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 57.58%EV -13.82%E -9.15%K -27.09%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.93%EV -14.01%E -2.89%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.49%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-05 21:34
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.90%E -3.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 21:30
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.90%E -3.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.90%E -3.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.90%E -3.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 21:30
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 55.33%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.64%EV -15.78%E -3.32%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.34%E -4.22%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-05 21:48
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 56.92%EV -12.10%E -7.86%K -22.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -18.44%E -4.01%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -8.04%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-05 21:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.96%0.1%2026-04-05 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-04-05 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-04-05 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-04-05 21:55
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.15%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.66%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.20%1.8%2026-04-05 21:55