مدرسة الاحتمالات

Universidad de Chile v La Serena

البداية: 2026-04-05 22:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Universidad de Chile (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.08%1.75السعر العادل
EV -2.40%
الأفضلية -1.40%
Kelly -3.38%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.71

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.33%57.10%56.97%59.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.511.621.601.7166.23%61.80%62.50%58.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

La Serena (الضيف)

التنبؤ 17.73%5.64السعر العادل
EV +3.72%
الأفضلية +0.636%
Kelly +0.767%
النمو +0.029%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.38%17.73%17.83%19.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.605.105.005.8521.74%19.61%20.00%17.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.19%3.97السعر العادل
EV -1.99%
الأفضلية -0.513%
Kelly -0.690%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.89

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.68%25.17%25.20%26.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.633.603.8929.41%27.52%27.78%25.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.92%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.44%EV +3.72%E +0.636%K +0.767%G +0.029%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.64%EV -5.52%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 13:55
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 57.48%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.63I 17.76%NM 17.05%EV -0.181%E -0.032%K -0.039%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.46%EV -5.02%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 21:45
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.55%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -0.713%E -0.127%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 21:55
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.55%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -0.713%E -0.127%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 21:55
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.91%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.38%EV -1.95%E -0.353%K -0.431%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.71%EV -1.99%E -0.513%K -0.690%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 21:54
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -2.49%E -0.452%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 21:45
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -2.49%E -0.452%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 21:54
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.27%EV -13.24%E -8.71%K -25.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -2.49%E -0.452%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 21:55
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.01%EV -3.37%E -0.619%K -0.758%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 21:55
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.24%EV -2.40%E -1.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.11%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV -5.52%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 21:30
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.92%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 21:49
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.92%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 21:30
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -6.92%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 21:30
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -6.92%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 21:39
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 21:30
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 21:30
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 21:30
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 21:30
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 21:30
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 21:25
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -5.52%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 21:50
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 21:54
Codere (IT)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 21:40
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -8.11%E -5.04%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 21:50
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 21:44
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 21:35
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 21:54
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 21:55
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 21:55
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 21:55
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -10.39%E -6.62%K -18.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 21:45
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -10.39%E -6.62%K -18.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.35%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 21:45
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -12.24%E -2.47%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 21:55
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -12.24%E -2.47%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 21:55
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.71%EV -9.82%E -6.22%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -13.12%E -2.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -3.00%E -0.780%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-05 21:34
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.45%EV -6.40%E -3.90%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -13.12%E -2.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 21:30
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.76%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -13.12%E -2.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 21:30
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 57.58%EV -13.82%E -9.15%K -27.09%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.93%EV -14.01%E -2.89%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.49%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-05 21:34
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.90%E -3.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 21:30
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.90%E -3.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.90%E -3.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.90%E -3.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 21:30
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 55.33%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.64%EV -15.78%E -3.32%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.34%E -4.22%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-05 21:48
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 56.92%EV -12.10%E -7.86%K -22.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -18.44%E -4.01%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -8.04%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-05 21:34
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.96%0.1%2026-04-05 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-04-05 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-04-05 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-04-05 21:55
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.15%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.66%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.20%1.8%2026-04-05 21:55