A Escola das Odds

Union La Calera v Palestino

Início: 2026-05-24 00:02 UTC

Final: Union La Calera 1–2 Palestino

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Union La Calera (Local)

Previsão 32.70%3.06odd justa
EV -1.89%
Vantagem -0.629%
Kelly -0.943%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.27%32.78%32.61%34.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.772.753.0040.00%36.16%36.36%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Palestino (Visitante)

Previsão 38.22%2.62odd justa
EV -0.629%
Vantagem -0.242%
Kelly -0.393%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.08%38.13%38.32%39.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.412.402.6044.44%41.41%41.67%38.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.08%3.44odd justa
EV -2.60%
Vantagem -0.775%
Kelly -1.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.05%29.09%29.06%30.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.703.143.153.3537.04%31.86%31.75%29.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.99%EV -1.89%E -0.629%K -0.943%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.01%EV -5.98%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.00%EV -3.76%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 23:59
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -1.89%E -0.629%K -0.943%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 00:00
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -1.89%E -0.629%K -0.943%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 00:00
Marathon Bet2.91I 34.36%NM 31.83%EV -4.83%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.76%EV -8.65%E -3.62%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 23:59
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 23:59
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 23:59
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 23:59
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 00:00
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 23:59
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 23:59
Pinnacle2.84I 35.21%NM 33.89%EV -7.12%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.02%EV -0.629%E -0.242%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.08%EV -3.76%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 23:59
GTbets2.82I 35.46%NM 33.47%EV -7.77%E -2.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.36%EV -5.98%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.17%EV -2.60%E -0.775%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 23:59
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 23:59
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 00:00
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 23:58
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 00:00
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 00:00
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 23:59
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-23 23:59
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 00:00
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -9.08%E -3.27%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -3.69%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 23:59
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -9.08%E -3.27%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -3.69%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 23:59
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 23:59
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 23:59
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 23:59
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-23 23:59
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-23 23:59
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-23 23:59
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -11.32%E -3.71%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-23 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-24 00:00
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-23 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-23 23:59
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-24 00:00
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -2.54%E -0.996%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 00:00
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 23:59
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 00:00
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 23:59
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 23:59
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-24 00:00
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -13.33%E -5.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-23 23:59
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -13.33%E -5.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -14.01%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-23 23:59
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%EV -13.99%E -5.32%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.63%EV -5.22%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-24 00:00
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -14.31%E -5.46%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-24 00:00
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -14.31%E -5.46%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 00:00
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV -14.97%E -5.76%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 00:00
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -14.97%E -5.76%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-23 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.19%EV -18.24%E -7.30%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.08%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.73%EV -21.50%E -7.96%K -12.64%G +0.000%20.5%2026-05-24 00:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.62%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.69%1.1%2026-05-24 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59%1.4%2026-05-24 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59%1.4%2026-05-24 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59%1.4%2026-05-24 00:00
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.55%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.49%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.96%3.1%2026-05-24 00:00