La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Union La Calera v Palestino
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Union La Calera (Local)
Predicción 32.70%3.06momio equitativo
EV -1.89%
Ventaja -0.629%
Kelly -0.943%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.27%32.78%32.61%34.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.772.753.0040.00%36.16%36.36%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Palestino (Visitante)
Predicción 38.22%2.62momio equitativo
EV -0.629%
Ventaja -0.242%
Kelly -0.393%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.08%38.13%38.32%39.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.412.402.6044.44%41.41%41.67%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.08%3.44momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -0.775%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.05%29.09%29.06%30.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.143.153.3537.04%31.86%31.75%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.99%EV -1.89%E -0.629%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.01%EV -5.98%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.00%EV -3.76%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -1.89%E -0.629%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -1.89%E -0.629%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.83%EV -4.83%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.76%EV -8.65%E -3.62%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.89%EV -7.12%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.02%EV -0.629%E -0.242%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.08%EV -3.76%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| GTbets | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.47%EV -7.77%E -2.76%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.36%EV -5.98%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.17%EV -2.60%E -0.775%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Betway | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Bovada | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 23:58 |
| BetUS | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Everygame | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Betsson | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -9.08%E -3.27%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -3.69%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -9.08%E -3.27%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -3.69%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| 888sport | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -11.32%E -3.71%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Neds | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -2.54%E -0.996%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -13.33%E -5.03%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -13.33%E -5.03%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -14.01%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%EV -13.99%E -5.32%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.63%EV -5.22%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -14.31%E -5.46%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -14.31%E -5.46%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV -14.97%E -5.76%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -14.97%E -5.76%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.19%EV -18.24%E -7.30%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.08%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.73%EV -21.50%E -7.96%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 20.5% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.62% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.69% | 1.1% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 1.4% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 1.4% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 1.4% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.55% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.49% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.96% | 3.1% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |