L’École des cotesFrançais
Union La Calera v Palestino
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Union La Calera (Local)
Prévision 32.70%3.06cote équitable
EV -1.89%
Avantage -0.629%
Kelly -0.943%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.27%32.78%32.61%34.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.772.753.0040.00%36.16%36.36%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Palestino (Visiteur)
Prévision 38.22%2.62cote équitable
EV -0.629%
Avantage -0.242%
Kelly -0.393%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.08%38.13%38.32%39.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.412.402.6044.44%41.41%41.67%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.08%3.44cote équitable
EV -2.60%
Avantage -0.775%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.05%29.09%29.06%30.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.143.153.3537.04%31.86%31.75%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.99%EV -1.89%E -0.629%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.01%EV -5.98%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.00%EV -3.76%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -1.89%E -0.629%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -1.89%E -0.629%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.83%EV -4.83%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.76%EV -8.65%E -3.62%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.89%EV -7.12%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.02%EV -0.629%E -0.242%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.08%EV -3.76%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| GTbets | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.47%EV -7.77%E -2.76%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.36%EV -5.98%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.17%EV -2.60%E -0.775%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Betway | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Bovada | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 23:58 |
| BetUS | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Everygame | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Betsson | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -9.08%E -3.27%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -3.69%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -9.08%E -3.27%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -3.69%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| 888sport | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -11.32%E -3.71%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Neds | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -2.54%E -0.996%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -13.33%E -5.03%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -13.33%E -5.03%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -14.01%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%EV -13.99%E -5.32%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.63%EV -5.22%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -14.31%E -5.46%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -14.31%E -5.46%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV -14.97%E -5.76%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -14.97%E -5.76%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.19%EV -18.24%E -7.30%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.08%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.73%EV -21.50%E -7.96%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 20.5% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.62% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.69% | 1.1% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 1.4% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 1.4% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 1.4% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.55% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.49% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.96% | 3.1% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |