مدرسة الاحتمالات

Union La Calera v Palestino

البداية: 2026-05-24 00:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Union La Calera 1–2 Palestino

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Union La Calera (المضيف)

التنبؤ 32.70%3.06السعر العادل
EV -1.89%
الأفضلية -0.629%
Kelly -0.943%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.27%32.78%32.61%34.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.772.753.0040.00%36.16%36.36%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Palestino (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.22%2.62السعر العادل
EV -0.629%
الأفضلية -0.242%
Kelly -0.393%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.08%38.13%38.32%39.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.412.402.6044.44%41.41%41.67%38.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.08%3.44السعر العادل
EV -2.60%
الأفضلية -0.775%
Kelly -1.10%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.05%29.09%29.06%30.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.703.143.153.3537.04%31.86%31.75%29.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.99%EV -1.89%E -0.629%K -0.943%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.01%EV -5.98%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.00%EV -3.76%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 23:59
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -1.89%E -0.629%K -0.943%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 00:00
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -1.89%E -0.629%K -0.943%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 00:00
Marathon Bet2.91I 34.36%NM 31.83%EV -4.83%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.76%EV -8.65%E -3.62%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 23:59
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 23:59
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 23:59
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 23:59
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 00:00
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 23:59
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 23:59
Pinnacle2.84I 35.21%NM 33.89%EV -7.12%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.02%EV -0.629%E -0.242%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.08%EV -3.76%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 23:59
GTbets2.82I 35.46%NM 33.47%EV -7.77%E -2.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.36%EV -5.98%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.17%EV -2.60%E -0.775%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 23:59
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 23:59
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 00:00
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 23:58
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 00:00
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 00:00
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 23:59
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-23 23:59
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 00:00
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -9.08%E -3.27%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -3.69%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 23:59
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -9.08%E -3.27%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -3.69%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 23:59
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 23:59
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 23:59
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 23:59
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-23 23:59
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-23 23:59
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-23 23:59
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -11.32%E -3.71%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-23 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-24 00:00
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-23 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-23 23:59
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-24 00:00
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -2.54%E -0.996%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 00:00
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 23:59
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 00:00
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 23:59
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 23:59
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-24 00:00
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -13.33%E -5.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-23 23:59
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -13.33%E -5.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -14.01%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-23 23:59
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%EV -13.99%E -5.32%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.63%EV -5.22%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-24 00:00
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -14.31%E -5.46%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-24 00:00
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -14.31%E -5.46%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 00:00
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV -14.97%E -5.76%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 00:00
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -14.97%E -5.76%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-23 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.19%EV -18.24%E -7.30%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.08%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.73%EV -21.50%E -7.96%K -12.64%G +0.000%20.5%2026-05-24 00:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.62%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.69%1.1%2026-05-24 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59%1.4%2026-05-24 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59%1.4%2026-05-24 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59%1.4%2026-05-24 00:00
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.55%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.49%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.96%3.1%2026-05-24 00:00