La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Union La Calera v Palestino
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Union La Calera (Casa)
Previsione 32.70%3.06quota equa
EV -1.89%
Vantaggio -0.629%
Kelly -0.943%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.27%32.78%32.61%34.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.772.753.0040.00%36.16%36.36%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Palestino (Trasferta)
Previsione 38.22%2.62quota equa
EV -0.629%
Vantaggio -0.242%
Kelly -0.393%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.08%38.13%38.32%39.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.412.402.6044.44%41.41%41.67%38.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 29.08%3.44quota equa
EV -2.60%
Vantaggio -0.775%
Kelly -1.10%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.05%29.09%29.06%30.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.143.153.3537.04%31.86%31.75%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.99%EV -1.89%E -0.629%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.01%EV -5.98%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.00%EV -3.76%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -1.89%E -0.629%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -1.89%E -0.629%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.83%EV -4.83%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.76%EV -8.65%E -3.62%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.89%EV -7.12%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.02%EV -0.629%E -0.242%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.08%EV -3.76%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| GTbets | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.47%EV -7.77%E -2.76%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.36%EV -5.98%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.17%EV -2.60%E -0.775%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Betway | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Bovada | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 23:58 |
| BetUS | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Everygame | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Betsson | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -9.08%E -3.27%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -3.69%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -9.08%E -3.27%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -3.69%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| 888sport | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -11.32%E -3.71%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Neds | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -2.54%E -0.996%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -13.33%E -5.03%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -13.33%E -5.03%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -14.01%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%EV -13.99%E -5.32%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.63%EV -5.22%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -14.31%E -5.46%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -14.31%E -5.46%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV -14.97%E -5.76%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -14.97%E -5.76%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-23 23:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.19%EV -18.24%E -7.30%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.08%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.73%EV -21.50%E -7.96%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 20.5% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.62% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.69% | 1.1% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 1.4% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 1.4% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 1.4% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.55% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.49% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.96% | 3.1% | 2026-05-24 00:00 |