Language:English
Palestino v O'Higgins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Palestino (Local)
Prediction 48.70%2.05fair odd
EV -4.05%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -4.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.36%48.84%48.65%51.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.881.891.9758.14%53.20%52.91%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
O'Higgins (Visit)
Prediction 23.65%4.23fair odd
EV +0.532%
Edge +0.125%
Kelly +0.164%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.53%23.54%23.69%24.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.843.804.2528.57%26.05%26.32%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.64%3.62fair odd
EV -0.494%
Edge -0.137%
Kelly -0.190%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.40%27.62%27.67%29.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.303.333.6035.71%30.30%30.08%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Palestino (Local): 48.70%; O'Higgins (Visit): 23.65%; Draw: 27.64%. For O'Higgins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.23. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.532%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.85%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV +0.532%E +0.125%K +0.164%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.85%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV +0.532%E +0.125%K +0.164%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.27%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -0.651%E -0.155%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -4.64%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 22:48 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.08%EV -13.79%E -7.79%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -0.651%E -0.155%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.23%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV -3.02%E -0.736%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.35%EV -2.98%E -0.850%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -3.02%E -0.736%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -3.02%E -0.736%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 23:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.46%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.15%EV -3.49%E -0.855%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -4.64%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.87%EV -9.41%E -5.06%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -5.38%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.37%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -6.56%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.56%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.56%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.50%EV -6.80%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 23:23 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.76%EV -4.05%E -2.06%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.56%EV -7.51%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.494%E -0.137%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.68%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.66%EV -7.95%E -4.21%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -8.93%E -2.32%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 23:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 23:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -7.95%E -4.21%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 22:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.64%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 23:21 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.55%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -12.93%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-28 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -14.31%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -14.31%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.62%EV -8.92%E -4.77%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-28 23:23 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -9.41%E -5.06%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -12.48%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -4.64%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -12.48%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-28 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -12.48%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -12.48%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -12.48%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-28 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.73%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -12.48%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.51%EV -11.84%E -6.54%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -13.66%E -3.74%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-28 23:24 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.93%EV -13.31%E -7.47%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.86%EV -13.66%E -3.74%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-02-28 23:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -10.87%E -5.94%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -14.84%E -4.12%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-02-28 23:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 48.52%EV -16.23%E -9.43%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.18%EV -14.84%E -4.12%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.29%EV -18.46%E -6.26%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.45%EV -11.36%E -6.24%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -16.03%E -4.51%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.36%EV -12.33%E -6.85%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.84%EV -17.21%E -4.92%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.80%EV -22.61%E -8.07%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-02-28 23:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-02-28 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-02-28 23:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.16% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.63% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.21% | 2.7% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |