A Escola das Odds

Palestino v O'Higgins

Início: 2026-02-28 23:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Palestino (Local)

Previsão 48.70%2.05odd justa
EV -4.05%
Vantagem -2.06%
Kelly -4.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.36%48.84%48.65%51.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.721.881.891.9758.14%53.20%52.91%50.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

O'Higgins (Visitante)

Previsão 23.65%4.23odd justa
EV +0.532%
Vantagem +0.125%
Kelly +0.164%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.53%23.54%23.69%24.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.843.804.2528.57%26.05%26.32%23.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.64%3.62odd justa
EV -0.494%
Vantagem -0.137%
Kelly -0.190%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.40%27.62%27.67%29.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.303.333.6035.71%30.30%30.08%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.85%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV +0.532%E +0.125%K +0.164%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 22:59
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.85%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV +0.532%E +0.125%K +0.164%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 22:59
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.27%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -0.651%E -0.155%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -4.64%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 22:48
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.08%EV -13.79%E -7.79%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -0.651%E -0.155%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 23:19
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 49.23%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV -3.02%E -0.736%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.35%EV -2.98%E -0.850%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 23:00
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -3.02%E -0.736%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 23:19
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -3.02%E -0.736%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 23:10
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 49.46%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.15%EV -3.49%E -0.855%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -4.64%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 23:19
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.87%EV -9.41%E -5.06%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -5.38%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 23:19
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.37%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -6.56%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 23:00
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.56%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 22:54
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.56%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 22:54
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.50%EV -6.80%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 23:23
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.76%EV -4.05%E -2.06%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.56%EV -7.51%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.494%E -0.137%K -0.190%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 23:19
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.68%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 23:04
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 22:59
Codere (IT)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.66%EV -7.95%E -4.21%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -8.93%E -2.32%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 23:04
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 23:25
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 23:24
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -7.95%E -4.21%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 22:54
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 22:54
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 22:54
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 22:54
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 22:54
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 22:44
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 48.64%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 23:21
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.55%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -12.93%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 23:00
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -14.31%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-28 23:19
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -14.31%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-28 23:19
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 23:25
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.62%EV -8.92%E -4.77%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 21:24
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 22:59
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 23:19
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 23:19
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 23:23
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -9.41%E -5.06%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -12.48%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -4.64%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -12.48%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -12.48%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 22:59
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -12.48%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 22:59
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -12.48%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 23:05
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.73%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -12.48%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-28 22:54
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.51%EV -11.84%E -6.54%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -13.66%E -3.74%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-28 23:24
Parions Sport (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.93%EV -13.31%E -7.47%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.86%EV -13.66%E -3.74%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-28 23:05
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -10.87%E -5.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -14.84%E -4.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-28 23:05
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 48.52%EV -16.23%E -9.43%K -22.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.18%EV -14.84%E -4.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.29%EV -18.46%E -6.26%K -9.47%G +0.000%19.8%2026-02-28 23:19
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.45%EV -11.36%E -6.24%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -16.03%E -4.51%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-28 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.36%EV -12.33%E -6.85%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.84%EV -17.21%E -4.92%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.80%EV -22.61%E -8.07%K -12.56%G +0.000%19.8%2026-02-28 23:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-02-28 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-02-28 23:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-02-28 23:25
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.21%2.7%2026-02-28 23:19