L’École des cotes

Palestino v O'Higgins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 23:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Palestino (Local)

Prévision 48.70%2.05cote équitable
EV -4.05%
Avantage -2.06%
Kelly -4.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.36%48.84%48.65%51.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.881.891.9758.14%53.20%52.91%50.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

O'Higgins (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.65%4.23cote équitable
EV +0.532%
Avantage +0.125%
Kelly +0.164%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.53%23.54%23.69%24.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.843.804.2528.57%26.05%26.32%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.64%3.62cote équitable
EV -0.494%
Avantage -0.137%
Kelly -0.190%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.40%27.62%27.67%29.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.303.333.6035.71%30.30%30.08%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.85%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV +0.532%E +0.125%K +0.164%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 22:59
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.85%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV +0.532%E +0.125%K +0.164%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 22:59
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.27%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -0.651%E -0.155%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -4.64%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 22:48
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.08%EV -13.79%E -7.79%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -0.651%E -0.155%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 23:19
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 49.23%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV -3.02%E -0.736%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.35%EV -2.98%E -0.850%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 23:00
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -3.02%E -0.736%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 23:19
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -3.02%E -0.736%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 23:10
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 49.46%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.15%EV -3.49%E -0.855%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -4.64%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 23:19
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.87%EV -9.41%E -5.06%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -5.38%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 23:19
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.37%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -6.56%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 23:00
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.56%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 22:54
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.56%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 22:54
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.50%EV -6.80%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 23:23
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.76%EV -4.05%E -2.06%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.56%EV -7.51%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.494%E -0.137%K -0.190%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 23:19
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.68%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 23:04
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 22:59
Codere (IT)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.66%EV -7.95%E -4.21%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -8.93%E -2.32%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 23:04
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 23:25
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 23:24
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -7.95%E -4.21%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 22:54
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 22:54
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 22:54
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 22:54
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 22:54
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 22:44
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 48.64%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 23:21
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.55%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -12.93%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 23:00
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -14.31%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-28 23:19
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -14.31%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-28 23:19
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 23:25
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.62%EV -8.92%E -4.77%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 21:24
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 22:59
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 23:19
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 23:19
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 23:23
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -9.41%E -5.06%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -12.48%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -4.64%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -12.48%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -12.48%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 22:59
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -12.48%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 22:59
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -12.48%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 23:05
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.73%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -12.48%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-28 22:54
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.51%EV -11.84%E -6.54%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -13.66%E -3.74%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-28 23:24
Parions Sport (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.93%EV -13.31%E -7.47%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.86%EV -13.66%E -3.74%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-28 23:05
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -10.87%E -5.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -14.84%E -4.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-28 23:05
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 48.52%EV -16.23%E -9.43%K -22.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.18%EV -14.84%E -4.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.29%EV -18.46%E -6.26%K -9.47%G +0.000%19.8%2026-02-28 23:19
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.45%EV -11.36%E -6.24%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -16.03%E -4.51%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-28 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.36%EV -12.33%E -6.85%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.84%EV -17.21%E -4.92%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.80%EV -22.61%E -8.07%K -12.56%G +0.000%19.8%2026-02-28 23:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-02-28 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-02-28 23:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-02-28 23:25
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.21%2.7%2026-02-28 23:19