La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Palestino v O'Higgins
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Palestino (Local)
Predicción 48.70%2.05momio equitativo
EV -4.05%
Ventaja -2.06%
Kelly -4.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.36%48.84%48.65%51.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.881.891.9758.14%53.20%52.91%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
O'Higgins (Visitante)
Predicción 23.65%4.23momio equitativo
EV +0.532%
Ventaja +0.125%
Kelly +0.164%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.53%23.54%23.69%24.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.843.804.2528.57%26.05%26.32%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.64%3.62momio equitativo
EV -0.494%
Ventaja -0.137%
Kelly -0.190%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.40%27.62%27.67%29.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.303.333.6035.71%30.30%30.08%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.85%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV +0.532%E +0.125%K +0.164%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.85%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV +0.532%E +0.125%K +0.164%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.27%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -0.651%E -0.155%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -4.64%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 22:48 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.08%EV -13.79%E -7.79%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -0.651%E -0.155%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.23%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV -3.02%E -0.736%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.35%EV -2.98%E -0.850%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 23:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -3.02%E -0.736%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -3.02%E -0.736%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 23:10 |
| GTbets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.46%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.15%EV -3.49%E -0.855%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -4.64%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.87%EV -9.41%E -5.06%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -5.38%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.37%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -6.56%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 23:00 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.56%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.56%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.50%EV -6.80%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 23:23 |
| 1xBet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.76%EV -4.05%E -2.06%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.56%EV -7.51%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.494%E -0.137%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.68%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.75%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.66%EV -7.95%E -4.21%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -8.93%E -2.32%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 23:25 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 23:24 |
| Unibet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -7.95%E -4.21%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 22:44 |
| Bovada | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.64%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 23:21 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.55%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -12.93%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-28 23:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -14.31%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -14.31%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.62%EV -8.92%E -4.77%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-28 23:23 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -9.41%E -5.06%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -12.48%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -4.64%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -12.48%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-28 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -12.48%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -12.48%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -12.48%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-28 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.73%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -12.48%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.51%EV -11.84%E -6.54%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -13.66%E -3.74%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-28 23:24 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.93%EV -13.31%E -7.47%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.86%EV -13.66%E -3.74%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-02-28 23:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -10.87%E -5.94%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -14.84%E -4.12%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-02-28 23:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 48.52%EV -16.23%E -9.43%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.18%EV -14.84%E -4.12%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.29%EV -18.46%E -6.26%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.45%EV -11.36%E -6.24%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -16.03%E -4.51%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.36%EV -12.33%E -6.85%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.84%EV -17.21%E -4.92%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.80%EV -22.61%E -8.07%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-02-28 23:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-02-28 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-02-28 23:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.16% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.63% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.21% | 2.7% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |