Language:English
Palestino v Deportes Limache
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Palestino (Local)
Prediction 44.62%2.24fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -3.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.99%44.61%44.57%46.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.052.052.1552.36%48.78%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Deportes Limache (Visit)
Prediction 28.66%3.49fair odd
EV -0.251%
Edge -0.072%
Kelly -0.101%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.55%28.69%28.72%31.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.173.203.4834.72%31.52%31.25%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.72%3.74fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -0.676%
Kelly -0.931%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.79%26.70%26.71%28.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.413.403.6534.72%29.37%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Palestino (Local): 44.62%; Deportes Limache (Visit): 28.66%; Draw: 26.72%. For Deportes Limache (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.48, with an expected value of -0.251%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.71%EV -4.08%E -1.90%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.95%EV -4.84%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.34%EV -2.47%E -0.676%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.88%EV -4.52%E -2.11%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.46%EV -3.00%E -0.827%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.10%EV -5.41%E -2.55%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.63%EV -4.26%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.27%EV -2.74%E -0.752%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.28%EV -5.86%E -2.78%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -10.48%E -3.13%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.28%EV -5.86%E -2.78%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -10.48%E -3.13%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -16.88%E -5.82%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.02%EV -6.75%E -3.23%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.64%EV -0.251%E -0.072%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -2.47%E -0.676%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.89%EV -6.75%E -3.23%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.20%E -3.46%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.20%E -3.46%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -7.20%E -3.46%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -8.09%E -3.93%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -8.09%E -3.93%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -8.09%E -3.93%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 23:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -8.09%E -3.93%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -8.09%E -3.93%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -8.09%E -3.93%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -2.54%E -0.748%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.16%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.41%EV -8.98%E -4.40%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -4.26%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -8.98%E -4.40%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -9.88%E -4.89%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -10.48%E -3.13%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -9.88%E -4.89%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.46%EV -11.66%E -5.89%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -12.58%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -13.00%E -6.67%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 44.97%EV -13.45%E -6.93%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.60%EV -12.58%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 42.99%EV -14.78%E -7.74%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -17.45%E -6.06%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -23.04%E -8.00%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 21.8% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 0.7% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.61% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52% | 1.9% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.35% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 40.54% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 35.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 23.97% | 20.9% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |