A Escola das Odds

Palestino v Deportes Limache

Início: 2026-04-12 00:02 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Palestino (Local)

Previsão 44.62%2.24odd justa
EV -4.08%
Vantagem -1.90%
Kelly -3.54%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.99%44.61%44.57%46.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.912.052.052.1552.36%48.78%48.78%46.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Deportes Limache (Visitante)

Previsão 28.66%3.49odd justa
EV -0.251%
Vantagem -0.072%
Kelly -0.101%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.55%28.69%28.72%31.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.173.203.4834.72%31.52%31.25%28.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.72%3.74odd justa
EV -2.47%
Vantagem -0.676%
Kelly -0.931%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.79%26.70%26.71%28.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.413.403.6534.72%29.37%29.41%27.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.71%EV -4.08%E -1.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.95%EV -4.84%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.34%EV -2.47%E -0.676%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 23:59
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.88%EV -4.52%E -2.11%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.46%EV -3.00%E -0.827%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 23:59
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 45.10%EV -5.41%E -2.55%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.63%EV -4.26%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.27%EV -2.74%E -0.752%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 23:59
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 43.28%EV -5.86%E -2.78%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -10.48%E -3.13%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 00:00
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 43.28%EV -5.86%E -2.78%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -10.48%E -3.13%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 00:00
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 00:00
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 00:00
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 00:00
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 00:00
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -16.88%E -5.82%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 23:59
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.02%EV -6.75%E -3.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.64%EV -0.251%E -0.072%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -2.47%E -0.676%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 23:59
Codere (IT)2.09I 47.85%NM 43.89%EV -6.75%E -3.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 00:00
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.20%E -3.46%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 00:00
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.20%E -3.46%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 00:00
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -7.20%E -3.46%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 00:00
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -8.09%E -3.93%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 00:00
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -8.09%E -3.93%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 00:00
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -8.09%E -3.93%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -8.09%E -3.93%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 00:00
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -8.09%E -3.93%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 00:00
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -8.09%E -3.93%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 00:00
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -2.54%E -0.748%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 00:00
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 23:59
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 23:59
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 00:00
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 00:00
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 23:59
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 23:59
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 00:00
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.16%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-12 00:00
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.41%EV -8.98%E -4.40%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -4.26%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 23:59
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -8.98%E -4.40%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 00:00
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -9.88%E -4.89%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -10.48%E -3.13%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 00:00
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -9.88%E -4.89%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 00:00
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 23:59
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 23:59
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 00:00
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 23:59
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 23:59
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 23:59
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-12 00:00
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.46%EV -11.66%E -5.89%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -12.58%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-12 00:00
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -13.00%E -6.67%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-12 00:00
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 44.97%EV -13.45%E -6.93%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.60%EV -12.58%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-11 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 42.99%EV -14.78%E -7.74%K -16.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -17.45%E -6.06%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -23.04%E -8.00%K -12.26%G +0.000%21.8%2026-04-12 00:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-04-12 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-04-12 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%1.9%2026-04-12 00:00
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 44.35%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%4.4%2026-04-12 00:00
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 40.54%2.33I 42.92%NM 35.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 23.97%20.9%2026-04-12 00:00