La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Palestino v Deportes Limache
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Palestino (Local)
Predicción 44.62%2.24momio equitativo
EV -4.08%
Ventaja -1.90%
Kelly -3.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.99%44.61%44.57%46.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.052.052.1552.36%48.78%48.78%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Deportes Limache (Visitante)
Predicción 28.66%3.49momio equitativo
EV -0.251%
Ventaja -0.072%
Kelly -0.101%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.55%28.69%28.72%31.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.173.203.4834.72%31.52%31.25%28.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.72%3.74momio equitativo
EV -2.47%
Ventaja -0.676%
Kelly -0.931%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.79%26.70%26.71%28.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.413.403.6534.72%29.37%29.41%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.71%EV -4.08%E -1.90%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.95%EV -4.84%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.34%EV -2.47%E -0.676%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.88%EV -4.52%E -2.11%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.46%EV -3.00%E -0.827%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| GTbets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.10%EV -5.41%E -2.55%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.63%EV -4.26%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.27%EV -2.74%E -0.752%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.28%EV -5.86%E -2.78%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -10.48%E -3.13%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.28%EV -5.86%E -2.78%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -10.48%E -3.13%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| BetUS | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -16.88%E -5.82%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.02%EV -6.75%E -3.23%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.64%EV -0.251%E -0.072%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -2.47%E -0.676%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.89%EV -6.75%E -3.23%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.20%E -3.46%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.20%E -3.46%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -7.20%E -3.46%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Unibet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -8.09%E -3.93%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -8.09%E -3.93%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -8.09%E -3.93%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 23:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -8.09%E -3.93%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -8.09%E -3.93%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -8.09%E -3.93%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -2.54%E -0.748%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| BetAnything | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.16%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.41%EV -8.98%E -4.40%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -4.26%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -8.98%E -4.40%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -9.88%E -4.89%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -10.48%E -3.13%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -9.88%E -4.89%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.46%EV -11.66%E -5.89%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -12.58%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -13.00%E -6.67%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 44.97%EV -13.45%E -6.93%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.60%EV -12.58%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-11 23:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 42.99%EV -14.78%E -7.74%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -17.45%E -6.06%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -23.04%E -8.00%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 21.8% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 0.7% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.61% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52% | 1.9% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.35% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 40.54% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 35.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 23.97% | 20.9% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |