L’École des cotes

Palestino v Deportes Limache

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 00:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Palestino (Local)

Prévision 44.62%2.24cote équitable
EV -4.08%
Avantage -1.90%
Kelly -3.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.99%44.61%44.57%46.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.052.052.1552.36%48.78%48.78%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Deportes Limache (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.66%3.49cote équitable
EV -0.251%
Avantage -0.072%
Kelly -0.101%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.55%28.69%28.72%31.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.173.203.4834.72%31.52%31.25%28.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.72%3.74cote équitable
EV -2.47%
Avantage -0.676%
Kelly -0.931%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.79%26.70%26.71%28.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.413.403.6534.72%29.37%29.41%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.71%EV -4.08%E -1.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.95%EV -4.84%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.34%EV -2.47%E -0.676%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 23:59
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.88%EV -4.52%E -2.11%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.46%EV -3.00%E -0.827%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 23:59
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 45.10%EV -5.41%E -2.55%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.63%EV -4.26%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.27%EV -2.74%E -0.752%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 23:59
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 43.28%EV -5.86%E -2.78%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -10.48%E -3.13%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 00:00
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 43.28%EV -5.86%E -2.78%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -10.48%E -3.13%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 00:00
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 00:00
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 00:00
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 00:00
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 00:00
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -16.88%E -5.82%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 23:59
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.02%EV -6.75%E -3.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.64%EV -0.251%E -0.072%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -2.47%E -0.676%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 23:59
Codere (IT)2.09I 47.85%NM 43.89%EV -6.75%E -3.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 00:00
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.20%E -3.46%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 00:00
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.20%E -3.46%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 00:00
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -7.20%E -3.46%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 00:00
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -8.09%E -3.93%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 00:00
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -8.09%E -3.93%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 00:00
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -8.09%E -3.93%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -8.09%E -3.93%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 00:00
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -8.09%E -3.93%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 00:00
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -8.09%E -3.93%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 00:00
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -2.54%E -0.748%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 00:00
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 23:59
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 23:59
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 00:00
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 00:00
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 23:59
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 23:59
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 00:00
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.16%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-12 00:00
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.41%EV -8.98%E -4.40%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -4.26%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 23:59
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -8.98%E -4.40%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 00:00
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -9.88%E -4.89%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -10.48%E -3.13%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 00:00
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -9.88%E -4.89%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 00:00
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 23:59
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 23:59
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 00:00
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 23:59
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 23:59
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 23:59
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-12 00:00
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.46%EV -11.66%E -5.89%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -12.58%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-12 00:00
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -13.00%E -6.67%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-12 00:00
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 44.97%EV -13.45%E -6.93%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.60%EV -12.58%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-11 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 42.99%EV -14.78%E -7.74%K -16.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -17.45%E -6.06%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -23.04%E -8.00%K -12.26%G +0.000%21.8%2026-04-12 00:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-04-12 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-04-12 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%1.9%2026-04-12 00:00
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 44.35%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%4.4%2026-04-12 00:00
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 40.54%2.33I 42.92%NM 35.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 23.97%20.9%2026-04-12 00:00